USA v Paraguay
Back to board
USA v Paraguay
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.31 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
USA48%
Draw28%
Paraguay24%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Draw no bet: USA67%1.49—
Draw no bet: Paraguay33%2.98—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: No53%1.88—
Under 2.5 Goals50%1.70—
Over 2.5 Goals50%2.40—
BTTS: Yes47%2.08—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
USA47%2.10—
The Draw29%3.40—
Paraguay24%4.20—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — USA or Draw73%——
Double chance — USA or Paraguay72%——
Draw no bet — USA63%——
Double chance — Paraguay or Draw55%——
USA to win45%——
Draw no bet — Paraguay37%——
Draw29%——
Paraguay to win27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals87%——
Over 1.5 goals76%——
Under 3.5 goals72%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Under 2.5 goals50%——
Over 2.5 goals50%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——
Over 3.5 goals28%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%——
Under 1.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals13%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Paraguay to score 137%——
Both score no draw35%——
USA to score 133%——
Paraguay to score 032%——
USA clean sheet32%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
USA to score 225%——
USA win to nil24%——
USA to score 022%——
Paraguay clean sheet22%——
Winning margin — USA by 121%——
Paraguay to score 221%——
USA to score 3+20%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 116%——
Winning margin — USA by 214%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Paraguay win to nil13%——
Paraguay to score 3+11%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 28%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Winning margin — USA by 36%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 33%——
Winning margin — USA by 42%——
Winning margin — USA by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 41%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals91%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals71%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals65%——
USA to win either half57%——
1st Half result — Draw45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
Paraguay to win either half41%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals35%——
1st Half result — USA33%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals29%——
Half with most goals — Equal28%——
HT/FT USA / USA27%——
USA to score in both halves24%——
1st Half result — Paraguay22%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw18%——
HT/FT Draw / USA16%——
HT/FT Paraguay / Paraguay16%——
Paraguay to score in both halves15%——
USA to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Paraguay11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals9%——
Paraguay to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Paraguay / Draw5%——
HT/FT USA / Draw5%——
HT/FT Paraguay / USA2%——
HT/FT USA / Paraguay2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — USA +2.597%——
Handicap — Paraguay -2.591%——
Handicap — USA +1.589%——
Handicap — Paraguay -1.577%——
Handicap — USA +0.573%——
Handicap — Paraguay -0.555%——
Handicap — USA -0.545%——
Handicap — Paraguay +0.527%——
Handicap — USA -1.523%——
Handicap — Paraguay +1.511%——
Handicap — USA -2.59%——
Handicap — Paraguay +2.53%——