Türkiye v Paraguay
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Türkiye v Paraguay
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 2/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Türkiye47%
Draw28%
Paraguay25%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Draw no bet: Türkiye66%1.50—
Draw no bet: Paraguay34%2.94—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals52%2.16—
BTTS: Yes51%1.93—
BTTS: No49%1.99—
Under 2.5 Goals48%1.80—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Türkiye47%2.10—
The Draw29%3.45—
Paraguay24%4.10—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Türkiye or Draw76%——
Double chance — Türkiye or Paraguay72%——
Draw no bet — Türkiye66%——
Double chance — Paraguay or Draw52%——
Türkiye to win48%——
Draw no bet — Paraguay34%——
Draw28%——
Paraguay to win24%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Paraguay to score 137%——
Both score no draw36%——
Paraguay to score 033%——
Türkiye clean sheet33%——
Türkiye to score 132%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Türkiye to score 226%——
Türkiye win to nil25%——
Türkiye to score 3+23%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 122%——
Paraguay to score 220%——
Türkiye to score 020%——
Paraguay clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 215%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 114%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Paraguay win to nil12%——
Paraguay to score 3+10%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 37%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 27%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 43%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 32%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 41%——
Winning margin — Paraguay by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%——
Türkiye to win either half62%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw42%——
Paraguay to win either half40%——
1st Half result — Türkiye36%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%——
HT/FT Türkiye / Türkiye30%——
Türkiye to score in both halves29%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
1st Half result — Paraguay22%——
Paraguay to score in both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / Türkiye17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
HT/FT Paraguay / Paraguay15%——
Türkiye to win both halves14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Draw / Paraguay10%——
Paraguay to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Paraguay / Draw5%——
HT/FT Türkiye / Draw5%——
HT/FT Paraguay / Türkiye3%——
HT/FT Türkiye / Paraguay2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Türkiye +2.597%——
Handicap — Türkiye +1.590%——
Handicap — Paraguay -2.589%——
Handicap — Türkiye +0.576%——
Handicap — Paraguay -1.574%——
Handicap — Paraguay -0.552%——
Handicap — Türkiye -0.548%——
Handicap — Türkiye -1.526%——
Handicap — Paraguay +0.524%——
Handicap — Türkiye -2.511%——
Handicap — Paraguay +1.510%——
Handicap — Paraguay +2.53%——