Türkiye v USA
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Türkiye v USA
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Türkiye27%
Draw23%
USA52%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Draw no bet: USA66%1.51—
Draw no bet: Türkiye34%2.88—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: Yes56%1.78—
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.81—
Under 2.5 Goals45%2.18—
BTTS: No44%2.24—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
USA50%1.97—
Türkiye26%3.75—
The Draw23%4.30—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Türkiye or USA72%——
Double chance — USA or Draw67%——
Double chance — Türkiye or Draw61%——
Draw no bet — USA55%——
Draw no bet — Türkiye45%——
USA to win39%——
Türkiye to win33%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
BTTS — Yes60%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.546%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS — No40%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
Türkiye to score 135%——
USA to score 133%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Türkiye to score 026%——
USA clean sheet26%——
USA to score 225%——
Türkiye to score 224%——
USA to score 022%——
Türkiye clean sheet22%——
USA to score 3+20%——
Winning margin — USA by 119%——
USA win to nil18%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 117%——
Türkiye to score 3+16%——
Türkiye win to nil15%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — USA by 212%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 210%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — USA by 35%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Correct score 1-34%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 34%——
Winning margin — USA by 42%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 41%——
Winning margin — USA by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Türkiye by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals84%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals75%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals60%——
USA to win either half57%——
Türkiye to win either half50%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals40%——
1st Half result — Draw39%——
1st Half result — USA33%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
USA to score in both halves30%——
1st Half result — Türkiye29%——
Türkiye to score in both halves26%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
HT/FT USA / USA25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT Türkiye / Türkiye20%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals16%——
HT/FT Draw / USA14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / Türkiye12%——
USA to win both halves12%——
Türkiye to win both halves9%——
HT/FT USA / Draw5%——
HT/FT Türkiye / Draw5%——
HT/FT Türkiye / USA3%——
HT/FT USA / Türkiye2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — USA -2.595%——
Handicap — Türkiye +2.592%——
Handicap — USA -1.585%——
Handicap — Türkiye +1.580%——
Handicap — USA -0.567%——
Handicap — Türkiye +0.561%——
Handicap — USA +0.539%——
Handicap — Türkiye -0.533%——
Handicap — USA +1.520%——
Handicap — Türkiye -1.515%——
Handicap — USA +2.58%——
Handicap — Türkiye -2.56%——