Alex de Minaur v G Diallo
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Tennis·ATP London 2026· 2026-06-16 · 12:10

Alex de Minaur v G Diallo

Recommended bet
Alex De Minaur
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)81%
Model edge-1.1%
Odds1.23 2/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Alex de Minaur82%
G Diallo19%
$26,274 liquidity · $17,010 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • G Diallo wins only 48% of 2nd-serve points (Alex de Minaur: 55%)
  • Alex de Minaur wins 40% of return points vs G Diallo's 34%
  • G Diallo serves aces on 10% of points vs Alex de Minaur's 6%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Alex de Minaur to win80%1.26—
G Diallo to win20%4.92—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Alex De Minaur81%1.23—
Gabriel Diallo19%5.10—