Fearnley v Bonzi
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Tennis·Nottingham Challenger 2026· 2026-06-17 · 11:40

Fearnley v Bonzi

Recommended bet
Benjamin Bonzi
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeMed
Win probability51%
Implied (with margin)52%
Model edge-1.6%
Odds1.92 10/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Fearnley50%
Bonzi51%
$12,038 liquidity · $2,214 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Fearnley wins only 47% of 2nd-serve points (Bonzi: 52%)
  • Fearnley double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Bonzi's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Bonzi to win64%1.56—
Fearnley to win36%2.79—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Benjamin Bonzi51%1.92—
Jacob Fearnley49%2.02—