Tirante v Fearnley
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Tirante v Fearnley
Recommended bet
Jacob Fearnley
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability70%
Implied (with margin)98%
Model edge-28.4%
Odds1.02 1/50
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Tirante39%
Fearnley61%
Why the model leans this way
- Tirante holds serve 81% of games vs Fearnley's 75%
- Fearnley wins only 47% of 2nd-serve points (Tirante: 53%)
- Fearnley double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Tirante's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Tirante to win73%1.37—
Fearnley to win27%3.68—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Jacob Fearnley70%1.02—
Thiago Agustin Tirante30%2.40—