South Africa v Canada
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-28 · 19:00

South Africa v Canada

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
Crowd odds — Polymarket
South Africa17%
Draw27%
Canada57%
$657,245 liquidity · $1,406,304 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Draw no bet: Canada79%1.25
Draw no bet: South Africa21%4.70
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: No54%1.86
Under 2.5 Goals51%1.79
Over 2.5 Goals49%2.24
BTTS: Yes46%2.16
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Canada59%1.69
The Draw26%3.90
South Africa16%6.40
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Canada or Draw72%
Double chance — South Africa or Canada71%
Draw no bet — Canada60%
Double chance — South Africa or Draw57%
Canada to win43%
Draw no bet — South Africa40%
Draw29%
South Africa to win28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes55%
Under 2.5 goals51%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Goals range — 4-6 goals25%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
South Africa to score 136%
Both score no draw34%
Canada to score 134%
South Africa to score 031%
Canada clean sheet31%
Winning margin — Draw29%
Canada to score 225%
Canada to score 023%
South Africa clean sheet23%
Canada win to nil23%
South Africa to score 221%
Winning margin — Canada by 121%
Canada to score 3+19%
Winning margin — South Africa by 116%
South Africa win to nil14%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Canada by 213%
South Africa to score 3+11%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 0-19%
Correct score 0-09%
Winning margin — South Africa by 28%
Correct score 0-28%
Correct score 2-17%
Correct score 1-07%
Winning margin — Canada by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 1-35%
Winning margin — South Africa by 33%
Winning margin — Canada by 42%
Winning margin — South Africa by 41%
Winning margin — Canada by 5+1%
Winning margin — South Africa by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals92%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals73%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals64%
Canada to win either half55%
1st Half result — Draw46%
South Africa to win either half42%
Half with most goals — 2nd41%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals36%
1st Half result — Canada31%
Half with most goals — 1st30%
Half with most goals — Equal29%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals27%
HT/FT Canada / Canada25%
1st Half result — South Africa23%
Canada to score in both halves22%
HT/FT Draw / Draw19%
HT/FT South Africa / South Africa16%
HT/FT Draw / Canada16%
South Africa to score in both halves15%
HT/FT Draw / South Africa11%
Canada to win both halves11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals8%
South Africa to win both halves6%
HT/FT Canada / Draw5%
HT/FT South Africa / Draw5%
HT/FT South Africa / Canada2%
HT/FT Canada / South Africa1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Canada -2.596%
Handicap — South Africa +2.592%
Handicap — Canada -1.588%
Handicap — South Africa +1.578%
Handicap — Canada -0.572%
Handicap — South Africa +0.557%
Handicap — Canada +0.543%
Handicap — South Africa -0.528%
Handicap — Canada +1.522%
Handicap — South Africa -1.512%
Handicap — Canada +2.59%
Handicap — South Africa -2.54%