USA v Bosnia
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USA v Bosnia
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
USA72%
Draw19%
Bosnia10%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Draw no bet: USA88%1.13—
Draw no bet: Bosnia12%8.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: No56%1.76—
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.86—
Under 2.5 Goals45%2.10—
BTTS: Yes44%2.22—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
USA71%1.40—
The Draw19%5.30—
Bosnia10%10.00—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — USA or Draw77%——
Double chance — USA or Bosnia74%——
Draw no bet — USA69%——
USA to win51%——
Double chance — Bosnia or Draw49%——
Draw no bet — Bosnia31%——
Draw26%——
Bosnia to win23%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Bosnia to score 137%——
Bosnia to score 032%——
USA clean sheet32%——
USA to score 130%——
USA to score 227%——
USA to score 3+26%——
Winning margin — Draw26%——
USA win to nil26%——
Winning margin — USA by 122%——
Bosnia to score 221%——
USA to score 017%——
Bosnia clean sheet17%——
Winning margin — USA by 216%——
Winning margin — Bosnia by 113%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Bosnia to score 3+11%——
Bosnia win to nil10%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Winning margin — USA by 38%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Winning margin — Bosnia by 27%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Winning margin — USA by 43%——
Winning margin — Bosnia by 32%——
Winning margin — USA by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Bosnia by 41%——
Winning margin — Bosnia by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals75%——
USA to win either half67%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals41%——
1st Half result — USA41%——
Bosnia to win either half40%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
USA to score in both halves38%——
HT/FT USA / USA34%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
1st Half result — Bosnia22%——
Bosnia to score in both halves20%——
USA to win both halves18%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%——
HT/FT Draw / USA17%——
HT/FT Bosnia / Bosnia14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%——
HT/FT Draw / Bosnia9%——
Bosnia to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Bosnia / Draw5%——
HT/FT USA / Draw5%——
HT/FT Bosnia / USA3%——
HT/FT USA / Bosnia2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — USA +2.597%——
Handicap — USA +1.591%——
Handicap — Bosnia -2.587%——
Handicap — USA +0.577%——
Handicap — Bosnia -1.571%——
Handicap — USA -0.551%——
Handicap — Bosnia -0.549%——
Handicap — USA -1.529%——
Handicap — Bosnia +0.523%——
Handicap — USA -2.513%——
Handicap — Bosnia +1.59%——
Handicap — Bosnia +2.53%——