Germany v Paraguay
Back to board
Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-06-29 · 20:30

Germany v Paraguay

Recommended bet
Germany or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability83%
Implied (with margin)83%
Model edge
Odds1.20 1/5
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Germany71%1.40
The Draw19%5.30
Paraguay10%9.80
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Germany or Draw83%
Draw no bet — Germany78%
Double chance — Germany or Paraguay75%
Germany to win58%
Double chance — Paraguay or Draw42%
Draw25%
Draw no bet — Paraguay23%
Paraguay to win17%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals53%
BTTS — Yes52%
BTTS — No48%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.540%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Paraguay to score 040%
Germany clean sheet40%
Paraguay to score 137%
Both score no draw35%
Germany win to nil32%
Germany to score 129%
Germany to score 3+29%
Germany to score 227%
Winning margin — Draw25%
Winning margin — Germany by 123%
Winning margin — Germany by 218%
Paraguay to score 217%
Germany to score 016%
Paraguay clean sheet16%
Correct score 1-112%
Winning margin — Paraguay by 111%
Correct score 2-011%
Correct score 1-010%
Winning margin — Germany by 310%
Correct score 2-110%
Paraguay win to nil8%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 3-07%
Paraguay to score 3+7%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 1-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Paraguay by 25%
Correct score 0-14%
Winning margin — Germany by 44%
Winning margin — Germany by 5+2%
Winning margin — Paraguay by 31%
Winning margin — Paraguay by 40%
Winning margin — Paraguay by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%
Germany to win either half70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Germany43%
1st Half result — Draw40%
HT/FT Germany / Germany38%
Germany to score in both halves36%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%
Paraguay to win either half32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
Germany to win both halves20%
HT/FT Draw / Germany19%
1st Half result — Paraguay17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
Paraguay to score in both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%
HT/FT Paraguay / Paraguay10%
HT/FT Draw / Paraguay7%
HT/FT Paraguay / Draw4%
HT/FT Germany / Draw4%
Paraguay to win both halves3%
HT/FT Paraguay / Germany3%
HT/FT Germany / Paraguay1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Germany +2.599%
Handicap — Germany +1.594%
Handicap — Paraguay -2.584%
Handicap — Germany +0.583%
Handicap — Paraguay -1.565%
Handicap — Germany -0.558%
Handicap — Paraguay -0.542%
Handicap — Germany -1.535%
Handicap — Paraguay +0.517%
Handicap — Germany -2.517%
Handicap — Paraguay +1.56%
Handicap — Paraguay +2.52%