Brazil v Norway
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Football·FIFA World Cup· 2026-07-05 · 20:00

Brazil v Norway

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Brazil55%
Draw27%
Norway21%
$1,771,915 liquidity · $3,131,393 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Draw no bet: Brazil73%1.37
Draw no bet: Norway27%3.65
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: Yes59%1.67
Over 2.5 Goals54%1.75
Under 2.5 Goals46%2.30
BTTS: No41%2.44
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Brazil54%1.85
The Draw26%3.80
Norway20%4.90
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Brazil or Norway72%
Double chance — Brazil or Draw68%
Double chance — Norway or Draw60%
Draw no bet — Brazil56%
Draw no bet — Norway45%
Brazil to win40%
Norway to win32%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals68%
BTTS — Yes59%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
Under 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.546%
BTTS — No41%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Norway to score 135%
Brazil to score 133%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Norway to score 027%
Brazil clean sheet27%
Brazil to score 225%
Norway to score 223%
Brazil to score 022%
Norway clean sheet22%
Winning margin — Brazil by 120%
Brazil to score 3+19%
Brazil win to nil19%
Winning margin — Norway by 117%
Norway to score 3+15%
Norway win to nil15%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Brazil by 212%
Winning margin — Norway by 210%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 0-07%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-26%
Winning margin — Brazil by 35%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Norway by 34%
Winning margin — Brazil by 42%
Winning margin — Norway by 41%
Winning margin — Brazil by 5+1%
Winning margin — Norway by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals63%
Brazil to win either half56%
Norway to win either half49%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw40%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals38%
1st Half result — Brazil33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Brazil to score in both halves29%
1st Half result — Norway28%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%
HT/FT Brazil / Brazil25%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
Norway to score in both halves24%
HT/FT Norway / Norway20%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
HT/FT Draw / Brazil14%
HT/FT Draw / Norway12%
Brazil to win both halves12%
Norway to win both halves8%
HT/FT Norway / Draw5%
HT/FT Brazil / Draw5%
HT/FT Norway / Brazil3%
HT/FT Brazil / Norway2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Brazil +2.595%
Handicap — Norway -2.592%
Handicap — Brazil +1.585%
Handicap — Norway -1.580%
Handicap — Brazil +0.568%
Handicap — Norway -0.560%
Handicap — Brazil -0.540%
Handicap — Norway +0.532%
Handicap — Brazil -1.520%
Handicap — Norway +1.515%
Handicap — Brazil -2.58%
Handicap — Norway +2.55%