A Sabalenka v Ostapenko
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Tennis·Women's Wimbledon 2026· 2026-07-03 · 14:30

A Sabalenka v Ostapenko

Recommended bet
Aryna Sabalenka
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge-1.6%
Odds1.26 1/4
Why the model leans this way
  • A Sabalenka holds serve 79% of games vs Ostapenko's 65%
  • Ostapenko wins only 43% of 2nd-serve points (A Sabalenka: 51%)
  • Ostapenko double-faults on 7% of serve points vs A Sabalenka's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
A Sabalenka to win84%1.19
Ostapenko to win16%6.40
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Aryna Sabalenka78%1.26
Jelena Ostapenko22%4.50