Mexico v England
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Mexico v England
Recommended bet
England or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Mexico31%
Draw33%
England38%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Draw no bet: England56%1.76—
Draw no bet: Mexico44%2.28—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 Goals53%1.58—
BTTS: No51%1.95—
BTTS: Yes49%2.04—
Over 2.5 Goals47%2.70—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
England38%2.62—
The Draw33%3.05—
Mexico30%3.35—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — England or Draw77%——
Double chance — Mexico or England71%——
Draw no bet — England67%——
Double chance — Mexico or Draw52%——
England to win48%——
Draw no bet — Mexico33%——
Draw29%——
Mexico to win23%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals91%——
Under 4.5 goals88%——
Under 3.5 goals74%——
Over 1.5 goals74%——
Under 2.5 goals53%——
BTTS — Yes52%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
BTTS — No48%——
Over 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%——
Under 1.5 goals26%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals26%——
Over 3.5 goals26%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals12%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Mexico to score 137%——
Mexico to score 036%——
England clean sheet36%——
England to score 133%——
Both score no draw33%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
England win to nil27%——
England to score 226%——
Winning margin — England by 123%——
England to score 021%——
Mexico clean sheet21%——
England to score 3+20%——
Mexico to score 219%——
Winning margin — England by 215%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 114%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Mexico win to nil12%——
Correct score 0-110%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 0-29%——
Mexico to score 3+8%——
Winning margin — England by 37%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 27%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 2-16%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 0-35%——
Winning margin — England by 43%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 32%——
Winning margin — England by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 41%——
Winning margin — Mexico by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals94%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals77%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals60%——
England to win either half56%——
1st Half result — Draw49%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals41%——
Half with most goals — 2nd40%——
Mexico to win either half36%——
1st Half result — England32%——
Half with most goals — Equal31%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
HT/FT England / England27%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals23%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw21%——
England to score in both halves20%——
1st Half result — Mexico19%——
HT/FT Draw / England17%——
HT/FT Mexico / Mexico13%——
England to win both halves11%——
Mexico to score in both halves11%——
HT/FT Draw / Mexico10%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals6%——
HT/FT England / Draw4%——
HT/FT Mexico / Draw4%——
Mexico to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Mexico / England2%——
HT/FT England / Mexico1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — England -2.597%——
Handicap — England -1.591%——
Handicap — Mexico +2.590%——
Handicap — England -0.577%——
Handicap — Mexico +1.575%——
Handicap — Mexico +0.552%——
Handicap — England +0.548%——
Handicap — England +1.526%——
Handicap — Mexico -0.523%——
Handicap — England +2.510%——
Handicap — Mexico -1.59%——
Handicap — Mexico -2.53%——