Toulouse v Lyon
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Football·French Ligue 1· 2026-08-22 · 18:45

Toulouse v Lyon

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 1/4
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals54%1.99
Under 2.5 Goals46%1.99
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Toulouse37%2.72
Lyon35%2.84
The Draw28%3.50
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Toulouse or Lyon72%
Double chance — Lyon or Draw65%
Double chance — Toulouse or Draw63%
Draw no bet — Lyon51%
Draw no bet — Toulouse49%
Lyon to win37%
Toulouse to win35%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes59%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No41%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Toulouse to score 135%
Lyon to score 134%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Toulouse to score 025%
Lyon clean sheet25%
Lyon to score 225%
Toulouse to score 224%
Lyon to score 024%
Toulouse clean sheet24%
Winning margin — Lyon by 119%
Winning margin — Toulouse by 118%
Lyon to score 3+18%
Lyon win to nil17%
Toulouse to score 3+17%
Toulouse win to nil16%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Lyon by 211%
Winning margin — Toulouse by 211%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-07%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 2-06%
Winning margin — Lyon by 35%
Winning margin — Toulouse by 34%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Lyon by 42%
Winning margin — Toulouse by 41%
Winning margin — Toulouse by 5+1%
Winning margin — Lyon by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
Lyon to win either half53%
Toulouse to win either half51%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half result — Lyon30%
1st Half result — Toulouse29%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%
Lyon to score in both halves26%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
Toulouse to score in both halves25%
HT/FT Lyon / Lyon23%
HT/FT Toulouse / Toulouse21%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
HT/FT Draw / Lyon13%
HT/FT Draw / Toulouse13%
Lyon to win both halves10%
Toulouse to win both halves9%
HT/FT Lyon / Draw5%
HT/FT Toulouse / Draw5%
HT/FT Toulouse / Lyon2%
HT/FT Lyon / Toulouse2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Lyon -2.594%
Handicap — Toulouse +2.593%
Handicap — Lyon -1.583%
Handicap — Toulouse +1.582%
Handicap — Lyon -0.565%
Handicap — Toulouse +0.563%
Handicap — Lyon +0.537%
Handicap — Toulouse -0.535%
Handicap — Lyon +1.518%
Handicap — Toulouse -1.517%
Handicap — Lyon +2.57%
Handicap — Toulouse -2.56%