CSKA Sofia v Derry City
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Football·UEFA Europa League Qualifiers· 2026-07-09 · 18:00

CSKA Sofia v Derry City

Recommended bet
CSKA Sofia or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 Goals54%2.12
Over 2.5 Goals46%1.72
MarketsProbOddsEdge
CSKA Sofia77%1.29
The Draw16%6.00
Derry City7%14.50
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — CSKA Sofia or Draw78%
Double chance — CSKA Sofia or Derry City71%
Draw no bet — CSKA Sofia69%
Double chance — Derry City or Draw51%
CSKA Sofia to win49%
Draw no bet — Derry City32%
Draw29%
Derry City to win22%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes50%
BTTS — No50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Derry City to score 038%
CSKA Sofia clean sheet38%
Derry City to score 137%
CSKA Sofia to score 133%
Both score no draw31%
Winning margin — Draw29%
CSKA Sofia win to nil28%
CSKA Sofia to score 225%
Winning margin — CSKA Sofia by 123%
CSKA Sofia to score 022%
Derry City clean sheet22%
CSKA Sofia to score 3+20%
Derry City to score 218%
Winning margin — CSKA Sofia by 215%
Winning margin — Derry City by 114%
Correct score 1-114%
Derry City win to nil12%
Correct score 1-011%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 2-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Derry City to score 3+8%
Winning margin — CSKA Sofia by 37%
Correct score 0-16%
Winning margin — Derry City by 26%
Correct score 1-26%
Correct score 3-05%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — CSKA Sofia by 43%
Winning margin — Derry City by 32%
Winning margin — CSKA Sofia by 5+1%
Winning margin — Derry City by 40%
Winning margin — Derry City by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
CSKA Sofia to win either half62%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
Derry City to win either half38%
1st Half result — CSKA Sofia37%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT CSKA Sofia / CSKA Sofia31%
CSKA Sofia to score in both halves28%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
1st Half result — Derry City20%
HT/FT Draw / CSKA Sofia17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
CSKA Sofia to win both halves15%
Derry City to score in both halves15%
HT/FT Derry City / Derry City13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / Derry City9%
HT/FT Derry City / Draw5%
HT/FT CSKA Sofia / Draw5%
Derry City to win both halves4%
HT/FT Derry City / CSKA Sofia2%
HT/FT CSKA Sofia / Derry City1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — CSKA Sofia +2.598%
Handicap — CSKA Sofia +1.592%
Handicap — Derry City -2.590%
Handicap — CSKA Sofia +0.578%
Handicap — Derry City -1.574%
Handicap — Derry City -0.551%
Handicap — CSKA Sofia -0.549%
Handicap — CSKA Sofia -1.526%
Handicap — Derry City +0.522%
Handicap — CSKA Sofia -2.511%
Handicap — Derry City +1.59%
Handicap — Derry City +2.52%