PEC Zwolle v Ajax
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Football·Dutch Eredivisie· 2026-08-09 · 12:30

PEC Zwolle v Ajax

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability90%
Implied (with margin)90%
Model edge
Odds1.11 1/9
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Ajax66%1.50
The Draw20%5.00
PEC Zwolle15%6.80
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — PEC Zwolle or Ajax77%
Double chance — Ajax or Draw69%
Draw no bet — Ajax60%
Double chance — PEC Zwolle or Draw54%
Ajax to win46%
Draw no bet — PEC Zwolle40%
PEC Zwolle to win31%
Draw23%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals97%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Under 5.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes72%
Under 4.5 goals68%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.563%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Under 3.5 goals48%
Goals range — 4-6 goals43%
Goals range — 2-3 goals38%
Over 4.5 goals32%
BTTS — No28%
Under 2.5 goals28%
Over 5.5 goals18%
Under 1.5 goals10%
Goals range — 0-1 goals10%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.59%
Goals range — 7+ goals9%
Under 0.5 goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw52%
Ajax to score 3+34%
PEC Zwolle to score 131%
Ajax to score 227%
PEC Zwolle to score 226%
Ajax to score 126%
PEC Zwolle to score 3+24%
Winning margin — Draw23%
Winning margin — Ajax by 119%
PEC Zwolle to score 019%
Ajax clean sheet19%
Winning margin — PEC Zwolle by 115%
Ajax win to nil15%
Winning margin — Ajax by 214%
Ajax to score 013%
PEC Zwolle clean sheet13%
Winning margin — PEC Zwolle by 29%
Correct score 1-19%
PEC Zwolle win to nil9%
Correct score 1-28%
Winning margin — Ajax by 38%
Correct score 2-27%
Correct score 2-17%
Correct score 1-36%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 2-35%
Winning margin — PEC Zwolle by 34%
Correct score 3-24%
Correct score 3-14%
Correct score 0-14%
Winning margin — Ajax by 43%
Winning margin — Ajax by 5+2%
Winning margin — PEC Zwolle by 42%
Winning margin — PEC Zwolle by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals82%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals76%
Ajax to win either half63%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals50%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals50%
PEC Zwolle to win either half50%
Half with most goals — 2nd47%
Ajax to score in both halves41%
1st Half result — Ajax38%
1st Half result — Draw34%
PEC Zwolle to score in both halves32%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
HT/FT Ajax / Ajax29%
1st Half result — PEC Zwolle28%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals24%
Half with most goals — Equal21%
HT/FT PEC Zwolle / PEC Zwolle19%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals19%
Ajax to win both halves15%
HT/FT Draw / Ajax14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%
HT/FT Draw / PEC Zwolle10%
PEC Zwolle to win both halves8%
HT/FT Ajax / Draw5%
HT/FT PEC Zwolle / Draw5%
HT/FT PEC Zwolle / Ajax4%
HT/FT Ajax / PEC Zwolle3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Ajax -2.594%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle +2.587%
Handicap — Ajax -1.584%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle +1.573%
Handicap — Ajax -0.569%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle +0.554%
Handicap — Ajax +0.546%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle -0.531%
Handicap — Ajax +1.527%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle -1.516%
Handicap — Ajax +2.513%
Handicap — PEC Zwolle -2.56%