Ararat Armenia v FK Riga
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Football·UEFA Champions League Qualifiers· 2026-07-07 · 16:00

Ararat Armenia v FK Riga

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.14 1/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Ararat Armenia35%
Draw27%
FK Riga42%
$15,309 liquidity · $4 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals68%2.06
BTTS: Yes54%1.80
BTTS: No46%2.12
Under 2.5 Goals32%1.88
MarketsProbOddsEdge
FK Riga38%2.58
Ararat Armenia33%2.92
The Draw29%3.40
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Ararat Armenia or FK Riga75%
Double chance — Ararat Armenia or Draw64%
Double chance — FK Riga or Draw61%
Draw no bet — Ararat Armenia52%
Draw no bet — FK Riga48%
Ararat Armenia to win39%
FK Riga to win36%
Draw25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals86%
Under 4.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes70%
Over 2.5 goals68%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.559%
Under 3.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%
Under 2.5 goals32%
BTTS — No31%
Over 4.5 goals28%
Over 5.5 goals14%
Under 1.5 goals12%
Goals range — 0-1 goals12%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw49%
FK Riga to score 131%
Ararat Armenia to score 130%
Ararat Armenia to score 227%
Ararat Armenia to score 3+27%
FK Riga to score 226%
Winning margin — Draw25%
FK Riga to score 3+25%
FK Riga to score 018%
Ararat Armenia clean sheet18%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 118%
Winning margin — FK Riga by 117%
Ararat Armenia to score 017%
FK Riga clean sheet17%
Ararat Armenia win to nil14%
FK Riga win to nil12%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 212%
Winning margin — FK Riga by 211%
Correct score 1-110%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 2-27%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 36%
Winning margin — FK Riga by 35%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 1-35%
Correct score 0-24%
Correct score 3-24%
Correct score 0-04%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 42%
Winning margin — FK Riga by 42%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 5+1%
Winning margin — FK Riga by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
Ararat Armenia to win either half57%
FK Riga to win either half54%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals53%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
1st Half result — Draw36%
Ararat Armenia to score in both halves35%
1st Half result — Ararat Armenia33%
FK Riga to score in both halves33%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
1st Half result — FK Riga31%
HT/FT Ararat Armenia / Ararat Armenia25%
HT/FT FK Riga / FK Riga22%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
HT/FT Draw / Ararat Armenia13%
Ararat Armenia to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / FK Riga12%
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%
FK Riga to win both halves10%
HT/FT FK Riga / Draw6%
HT/FT Ararat Armenia / Draw6%
HT/FT FK Riga / Ararat Armenia3%
HT/FT Ararat Armenia / FK Riga3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Ararat Armenia +2.592%
Handicap — FK Riga -2.591%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia +1.581%
Handicap — FK Riga -1.579%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia +0.564%
Handicap — FK Riga -0.561%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia -0.539%
Handicap — FK Riga +0.536%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia -1.521%
Handicap — FK Riga +1.519%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia -2.59%
Handicap — FK Riga +2.58%