SP Tre Fiori v Larne
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Football·UEFA Champions League Qualifiers· 2026-07-07 · 18:30

SP Tre Fiori v Larne

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.14 1/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
SP Tre Fiori28%
Draw34%
Larne47%
$15,532 liquidity · $232 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Larne66%1.47
The Draw19%5.10
SP Tre Fiori14%6.80
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Larne or Draw77%
Double chance — SP Tre Fiori or Larne77%
Draw no bet — Larne70%
Larne to win54%
Double chance — SP Tre Fiori or Draw46%
Draw no bet — SP Tre Fiori30%
SP Tre Fiori to win23%
Draw23%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals86%
Under 4.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals68%
BTTS — Yes67%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.557%
Under 3.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%
BTTS — No33%
Under 2.5 goals32%
Over 4.5 goals28%
Over 5.5 goals14%
Under 1.5 goals12%
Goals range — 0-1 goals12%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw48%
Larne to score 3+36%
SP Tre Fiori to score 135%
Larne to score 227%
SP Tre Fiori to score 026%
Larne clean sheet26%
Larne to score 125%
SP Tre Fiori to score 224%
Winning margin — Draw23%
Larne win to nil21%
Winning margin — Larne by 121%
Winning margin — Larne by 217%
SP Tre Fiori to score 3+16%
Winning margin — SP Tre Fiori by 113%
Larne to score 012%
SP Tre Fiori clean sheet12%
Correct score 1-110%
Winning margin — Larne by 310%
Correct score 1-29%
SP Tre Fiori win to nil8%
Correct score 0-27%
Correct score 1-37%
Winning margin — SP Tre Fiori by 27%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 2-16%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 0-35%
Correct score 2-35%
Winning margin — Larne by 45%
Correct score 0-04%
Winning margin — Larne by 5+3%
Winning margin — SP Tre Fiori by 33%
Winning margin — SP Tre Fiori by 41%
Winning margin — SP Tre Fiori by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
Larne to win either half69%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals53%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
Larne to score in both halves43%
1st Half result — Larne43%
SP Tre Fiori to win either half41%
HT/FT Larne / Larne36%
1st Half result — Draw35%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
SP Tre Fiori to score in both halves24%
1st Half result — SP Tre Fiori23%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
Larne to win both halves20%
HT/FT Draw / Larne16%
HT/FT SP Tre Fiori / SP Tre Fiori14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%
HT/FT Draw / SP Tre Fiori8%
SP Tre Fiori to win both halves5%
HT/FT Larne / Draw5%
HT/FT SP Tre Fiori / Draw5%
HT/FT SP Tre Fiori / Larne4%
HT/FT Larne / SP Tre Fiori2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Larne -2.597%
Handicap — Larne -1.590%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori +2.583%
Handicap — Larne -0.577%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori +1.567%
Handicap — Larne +0.554%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori +0.546%
Handicap — Larne +1.534%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori -0.523%
Handicap — Larne +2.517%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori -1.510%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori -2.54%