FK Riga v Ararat Armenia
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Football·UEFA Champions League Qualifiers· 2026-07-14 · 17:00

FK Riga v Ararat Armenia

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.14 1/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
FK Riga56%
Draw25%
Ararat Armenia21%
$17,405 liquidity · $5,437 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
FK Riga55%1.78
The Draw25%3.85
Ararat Armenia20%4.90
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — FK Riga or Ararat Armenia76%
Double chance — FK Riga or Draw69%
Draw no bet — FK Riga58%
Double chance — Ararat Armenia or Draw56%
FK Riga to win44%
Draw no bet — Ararat Armenia42%
Ararat Armenia to win32%
Draw24%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals86%
Under 4.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes69%
Over 2.5 goals68%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.559%
Under 3.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%
Under 2.5 goals32%
BTTS — No31%
Over 4.5 goals28%
Over 5.5 goals14%
Under 1.5 goals12%
Goals range — 0-1 goals12%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw49%
Ararat Armenia to score 132%
FK Riga to score 3+30%
FK Riga to score 128%
FK Riga to score 227%
Ararat Armenia to score 226%
Winning margin — Draw24%
Ararat Armenia to score 3+22%
Ararat Armenia to score 020%
FK Riga clean sheet20%
Winning margin — FK Riga by 119%
FK Riga win to nil16%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 116%
FK Riga to score 015%
Ararat Armenia clean sheet15%
Winning margin — FK Riga by 214%
Ararat Armenia win to nil11%
Correct score 1-110%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 210%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — FK Riga by 37%
Correct score 2-27%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 2-06%
Correct score 1-05%
Correct score 3-24%
Correct score 0-04%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 34%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — FK Riga by 43%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 42%
Winning margin — FK Riga by 5+1%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
FK Riga to win either half61%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals53%
Ararat Armenia to win either half50%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
FK Riga to score in both halves37%
1st Half result — FK Riga36%
1st Half result — Draw36%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
Ararat Armenia to score in both halves30%
1st Half result — Ararat Armenia28%
HT/FT FK Riga / FK Riga28%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
HT/FT Ararat Armenia / Ararat Armenia20%
FK Riga to win both halves14%
HT/FT Draw / FK Riga14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%
HT/FT Draw / Ararat Armenia11%
Ararat Armenia to win both halves8%
HT/FT Ararat Armenia / Draw5%
HT/FT FK Riga / Draw5%
HT/FT Ararat Armenia / FK Riga3%
HT/FT FK Riga / Ararat Armenia3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — FK Riga +2.594%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia -2.589%
Handicap — FK Riga +1.584%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia -1.575%
Handicap — FK Riga +0.569%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia -0.556%
Handicap — FK Riga -0.544%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia +0.532%
Handicap — FK Riga -1.525%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia +1.516%
Handicap — FK Riga -2.511%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia +2.56%