Sim Waltert v P Badosa
Back to board
Tennis·WTA Båstad 2026· 2026-07-11 · 12:00

Sim Waltert v P Badosa

Recommended bet
Paula Badosa
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability70%
Implied (with margin)72%
Model edge-2.6%
Odds1.39 2/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Sim Waltert31%
P Badosa70%
$23,603 liquidity · $1,042 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • P Badosa holds serve 69% of games vs Sim Waltert's 60%
  • P Badosa double-faults on 8% of serve points vs Sim Waltert's 5%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
P Badosa to win56%1.80—
Sim Waltert to win44%2.26—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Paula Badosa70%1.39—
Simona Waltert30%3.25—