Larne v SP Tre Fiori
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Football·UEFA Champions League Qualifiers· 2026-07-14 · 19:00

Larne v SP Tre Fiori

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.14 1/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Larne83%
Draw13%
SP Tre Fiori4%
$17,061 liquidity · $1,236 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals68%1.60
BTTS: No61%1.60
BTTS: Yes39%2.48
Under 2.5 Goals32%2.42
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Larne81%1.21
The Draw14%7.20
SP Tre Fiori5%19.00
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Larne or Draw83%
Double chance — Larne or SP Tre Fiori79%
Draw no bet — Larne79%
Larne to win62%
Double chance — SP Tre Fiori or Draw38%
Draw no bet — SP Tre Fiori21%
Draw21%
SP Tre Fiori to win17%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals86%
Under 4.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals68%
BTTS — Yes63%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.554%
Under 3.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%
BTTS — No37%
Under 2.5 goals32%
Over 4.5 goals28%
Over 5.5 goals14%
Under 1.5 goals13%
Goals range — 0-1 goals13%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.59%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw46%
Larne to score 3+41%
SP Tre Fiori to score 136%
SP Tre Fiori to score 031%
Larne clean sheet31%
Larne win to nil27%
Larne to score 226%
Larne to score 123%
SP Tre Fiori to score 221%
Winning margin — Draw21%
Winning margin — Larne by 121%
Winning margin — Larne by 219%
Winning margin — Larne by 312%
SP Tre Fiori to score 3+11%
Winning margin — SP Tre Fiori by 110%
Larne to score 010%
SP Tre Fiori clean sheet10%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 1-19%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 3-18%
Correct score 3-06%
Winning margin — Larne by 46%
Correct score 1-06%
Correct score 2-26%
SP Tre Fiori win to nil6%
Correct score 1-25%
Winning margin — SP Tre Fiori by 25%
Correct score 3-24%
Correct score 4-14%
Winning margin — Larne by 5+4%
Winning margin — SP Tre Fiori by 32%
Winning margin — SP Tre Fiori by 40%
Winning margin — SP Tre Fiori by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
Larne to win either half75%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals53%
1st Half result — Larne48%
Larne to score in both halves47%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
HT/FT Larne / Larne42%
1st Half result — Draw34%
SP Tre Fiori to win either half34%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
Larne to win both halves25%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
SP Tre Fiori to score in both halves19%
1st Half result — SP Tre Fiori18%
HT/FT Draw / Larne18%
HT/FT SP Tre Fiori / SP Tre Fiori10%
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%
HT/FT Draw / SP Tre Fiori6%
HT/FT SP Tre Fiori / Draw5%
HT/FT Larne / Draw5%
HT/FT SP Tre Fiori / Larne4%
SP Tre Fiori to win both halves3%
HT/FT Larne / SP Tre Fiori2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Larne +2.598%
Handicap — Larne +1.593%
Handicap — Larne +0.583%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori -2.578%
Handicap — Larne -0.562%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori -1.559%
Handicap — Larne -1.541%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori -0.538%
Handicap — Larne -2.523%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori +0.517%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori +1.57%
Handicap — SP Tre Fiori +2.52%