Altmaier v Hug Gaston
Back to board
Tennis·ATP Bastad 2026· 2026-07-14 · 10:00

Altmaier v Hug Gaston

Recommended bet
Daniel Altmaier
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeMed
Win probability59%
Implied (with margin)65%
Model edge-9.8%
Odds1.53 8/15
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Altmaier58%
Hug Gaston42%
$38,946 liquidity · $158 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Altmaier holds serve 77% of games vs Hug Gaston's 71%
  • Altmaier serves aces on 8% of points vs Hug Gaston's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Altmaier to win54%1.84—
Hug Gaston to win46%2.19—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Daniel Altmaier59%1.53—
Hugo Gaston41%2.20—