Choinski v Basilashvili
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Tennis·ATP Bastad 2026· 2026-07-14 · 11:10

Choinski v Basilashvili

Recommended bet
Jan Choinski
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeMed
Win probability61%
Implied (with margin)62%
Model edge-2.1%
Odds1.61 8/13
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Choinski61%
Basilashvili40%
$63,100 liquidity · $3,080 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Basilashvili double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Choinski's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Basilashvili to win53%1.89—
Choinski to win47%2.12—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Jan Choinski61%1.61—
Nikoloz Basilashvili39%2.50—