J De Jong v Se Baez
Back to board
Tennis·ATP Bastad 2026· 2026-07-16 · 12:30

J De Jong v Se Baez

Recommended bet
Jesper De Jong
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeMed
Win probability54%
Implied (with margin)54%
Model edge-0.8%
Odds1.85 5/6
Crowd odds — Polymarket
J De Jong54%
Se Baez47%
$119,479 liquidity · $14,385 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Se Baez wins 39% of return points vs J De Jong's 35%
  • J De Jong serves aces on 9% of points vs Se Baez's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Se Baez to win55%1.81—
J De Jong to win45%2.24—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Jesper De Jong54%1.85—
Sebastian Baez46%2.14—