Dzumhur v Arnaldi
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Tennis·ATP Umag 2026· 2026-07-16 · 16:00LIVE

Dzumhur v Arnaldi

Recommended bet
Matteo Arnaldi
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability74%
Implied (with margin)74%
Model edge-0.4%
Odds1.35 4/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Dzumhur24%
Arnaldi77%
$254,467 liquidity · $51,415 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Arnaldi holds serve 77% of games vs Dzumhur's 71%
  • Arnaldi serves aces on 7% of points vs Dzumhur's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Arnaldi to win62%1.60—
Dzumhur to win38%2.66—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Matteo Arnaldi74%1.35—
Damir Dzumhur26%3.80—