Dinamo Zagreb v Thun
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Football·UEFA Champions League Qualifiers· 2026-07-28 · 18:00

Dinamo Zagreb v Thun

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.14 1/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Dinamo Zagreb71%
Draw18%
Thun12%
$11,389 liquidity · $4,568 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals68%1.63
Under 2.5 Goals32%2.52
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Dinamo Zagreb70%1.42
The Draw19%5.20
Thun11%8.60
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Dinamo Zagreb or Thun76%
Double chance — Dinamo Zagreb or Draw73%
Draw no bet — Dinamo Zagreb64%
Double chance — Thun or Draw51%
Dinamo Zagreb to win49%
Draw no bet — Thun36%
Thun to win27%
Draw24%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals86%
Under 4.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes68%
Over 2.5 goals68%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.558%
Under 3.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%
Under 2.5 goals32%
BTTS — No32%
Over 4.5 goals28%
Over 5.5 goals14%
Under 1.5 goals12%
Goals range — 0-1 goals12%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw49%
Thun to score 134%
Dinamo Zagreb to score 3+33%
Dinamo Zagreb to score 227%
Dinamo Zagreb to score 127%
Thun to score 225%
Winning margin — Draw24%
Thun to score 023%
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet23%
Winning margin — Dinamo Zagreb by 120%
Thun to score 3+19%
Dinamo Zagreb win to nil19%
Winning margin — Dinamo Zagreb by 215%
Winning margin — Thun by 114%
Dinamo Zagreb to score 013%
Thun clean sheet13%
Correct score 1-110%
Correct score 2-19%
Thun win to nil9%
Winning margin — Dinamo Zagreb by 38%
Winning margin — Thun by 28%
Correct score 2-27%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 2-06%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 1-05%
Correct score 3-25%
Correct score 0-04%
Correct score 3-04%
Winning margin — Dinamo Zagreb by 44%
Winning margin — Thun by 33%
Winning margin — Dinamo Zagreb by 5+2%
Winning margin — Thun by 41%
Winning margin — Thun by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
Dinamo Zagreb to win either half65%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals53%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
Thun to win either half45%
Dinamo Zagreb to score in both halves40%
1st Half result — Dinamo Zagreb39%
1st Half result — Draw35%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
HT/FT Dinamo Zagreb / Dinamo Zagreb32%
Thun to score in both halves27%
1st Half result — Thun25%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
Dinamo Zagreb to win both halves17%
HT/FT Thun / Thun17%
HT/FT Draw / Dinamo Zagreb15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%
HT/FT Draw / Thun9%
Thun to win both halves7%
HT/FT Thun / Draw5%
HT/FT Dinamo Zagreb / Draw5%
HT/FT Thun / Dinamo Zagreb4%
HT/FT Dinamo Zagreb / Thun2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Dinamo Zagreb +2.595%
Handicap — Dinamo Zagreb +1.587%
Handicap — Thun -2.586%
Handicap — Dinamo Zagreb +0.573%
Handicap — Thun -1.571%
Handicap — Thun -0.551%
Handicap — Dinamo Zagreb -0.549%
Handicap — Dinamo Zagreb -1.529%
Handicap — Thun +0.527%
Handicap — Dinamo Zagreb -2.514%
Handicap — Thun +1.513%
Handicap — Thun +2.55%