Serbia v Greece
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Football·UEFA Nations League· 2026-09-24 · 18:45

Serbia v Greece

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Serbia36%2.72
Greece34%2.88
The Draw29%3.40
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Serbia or Greece72%
Double chance — Greece or Draw71%
Draw no bet — Greece59%
Double chance — Serbia or Draw58%
Greece to win42%
Draw no bet — Serbia41%
Serbia to win30%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals86%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals71%
BTTS — Yes57%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Under 2.5 goals48%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No43%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%
Under 1.5 goals23%
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%
Over 4.5 goals14%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw36%
Serbia to score 136%
Greece to score 133%
Serbia to score 029%
Greece clean sheet29%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Greece to score 225%
Greece to score 022%
Serbia clean sheet22%
Serbia to score 222%
Greece win to nil21%
Winning margin — Greece by 121%
Greece to score 3+19%
Winning margin — Serbia by 117%
Serbia win to nil14%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Greece by 213%
Serbia to score 3+13%
Correct score 1-29%
Winning margin — Serbia by 29%
Correct score 0-18%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 2-17%
Correct score 0-27%
Correct score 1-06%
Winning margin — Greece by 36%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 1-35%
Winning margin — Serbia by 33%
Winning margin — Greece by 42%
Winning margin — Serbia by 41%
Winning margin — Greece by 5+1%
Winning margin — Serbia by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%
Greece to win either half56%
Serbia to win either half45%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Greece32%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
HT/FT Greece / Greece25%
Greece to score in both halves25%
1st Half result — Serbia25%
Serbia to score in both halves19%
HT/FT Serbia / Serbia18%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT Draw / Greece15%
HT/FT Draw / Serbia12%
Greece to win both halves11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Serbia to win both halves7%
HT/FT Greece / Draw5%
HT/FT Serbia / Draw5%
HT/FT Serbia / Greece2%
HT/FT Greece / Serbia2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Greece -2.596%
Handicap — Serbia +2.592%
Handicap — Greece -1.587%
Handicap — Serbia +1.578%
Handicap — Greece -0.571%
Handicap — Serbia +0.558%
Handicap — Greece +0.542%
Handicap — Serbia -0.530%
Handicap — Greece +1.522%
Handicap — Serbia -1.513%
Handicap — Greece +2.59%
Handicap — Serbia -2.54%