D Kasatkina v A Kalinskaya
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Tennis·WTA Washington 2026· 2026-07-28 · 19:00

D Kasatkina v A Kalinskaya

Recommended bet
Anna Kalinskaya
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeMed
Win probability65%
Implied (with margin)65%
Model edge-1.1%
Odds1.53 8/15
Crowd odds — Polymarket
D Kasatkina35%
A Kalinskaya66%
$124,251 liquidity · $4,180 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • A Kalinskaya holds serve 68% of games vs D Kasatkina's 60%
  • D Kasatkina wins only 41% of 2nd-serve points (A Kalinskaya: 47%)
  • D Kasatkina double-faults on 7% of serve points vs A Kalinskaya's 5%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
A Kalinskaya to win56%1.78—
D Kasatkina to win44%2.29—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Anna Kalinskaya65%1.53—
Daria Kasatkina35%2.80—