Ararat Armenia v NK Celje
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Football·UEFA Champions League Qualifiers· 2026-08-04 · 16:00

Ararat Armenia v NK Celje

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.14 1/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Ararat Armenia33%
Draw28%
NK Celje38%
$16,174 liquidity · $1,395 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Draw no bet: NK Celje53%1.86
Draw no bet: Ararat Armenia47%2.06
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: Yes55%1.77
BTTS: No45%2.16
MarketsProbOddsEdge
NK Celje38%2.58
Ararat Armenia34%2.90
The Draw28%3.50
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Ararat Armenia or NK Celje76%
Double chance — NK Celje or Draw71%
Draw no bet — NK Celje62%
Double chance — Ararat Armenia or Draw53%
NK Celje to win47%
Draw no bet — Ararat Armenia38%
Ararat Armenia to win29%
Draw24%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals86%
Under 4.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes69%
Over 2.5 goals68%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.558%
Under 3.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%
Under 2.5 goals32%
BTTS — No31%
Over 4.5 goals28%
Over 5.5 goals14%
Under 1.5 goals12%
Goals range — 0-1 goals12%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw49%
Ararat Armenia to score 133%
NK Celje to score 3+32%
NK Celje to score 128%
NK Celje to score 227%
Ararat Armenia to score 225%
Winning margin — Draw24%
Ararat Armenia to score 022%
NK Celje clean sheet22%
Ararat Armenia to score 3+20%
Winning margin — NK Celje by 120%
NK Celje win to nil17%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 115%
Winning margin — NK Celje by 214%
NK Celje to score 014%
Ararat Armenia clean sheet14%
Correct score 1-110%
Ararat Armenia win to nil10%
Correct score 1-29%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 29%
Winning margin — NK Celje by 38%
Correct score 2-17%
Correct score 2-27%
Correct score 1-36%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 2-35%
Correct score 0-04%
Correct score 0-34%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 34%
Winning margin — NK Celje by 43%
Winning margin — NK Celje by 5+2%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 41%
Winning margin — Ararat Armenia by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
NK Celje to win either half63%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals53%
Ararat Armenia to win either half47%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
NK Celje to score in both halves39%
1st Half result — NK Celje38%
1st Half result — Draw35%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
HT/FT NK Celje / NK Celje30%
Ararat Armenia to score in both halves28%
1st Half result — Ararat Armenia27%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
HT/FT Ararat Armenia / Ararat Armenia18%
NK Celje to win both halves15%
HT/FT Draw / NK Celje14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%
HT/FT Draw / Ararat Armenia10%
Ararat Armenia to win both halves8%
HT/FT NK Celje / Draw5%
HT/FT Ararat Armenia / Draw5%
HT/FT Ararat Armenia / NK Celje4%
HT/FT NK Celje / Ararat Armenia3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — NK Celje -2.595%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia +2.587%
Handicap — NK Celje -1.586%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia +1.573%
Handicap — NK Celje -0.571%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia +0.553%
Handicap — NK Celje +0.547%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia -0.529%
Handicap — NK Celje +1.527%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia -1.514%
Handicap — NK Celje +2.513%
Handicap — Ararat Armenia -2.55%