Fenerbahce v Sturm Graz
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Football·UEFA Champions League Qualifiers· 2026-08-05 · 18:00

Fenerbahce v Sturm Graz

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.14 1/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Fenerbahce70%
Draw19%
Sturm Graz12%
$40,452 liquidity · $5,303 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Fenerbahce70%1.41
The Draw19%5.20
Sturm Graz11%8.60
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Fenerbahce or Sturm Graz77%
Double chance — Fenerbahce or Draw77%
Draw no bet — Fenerbahce70%
Fenerbahce to win54%
Double chance — Sturm Graz or Draw47%
Draw no bet — Sturm Graz31%
Sturm Graz to win23%
Draw23%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals86%
Under 4.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals68%
BTTS — Yes67%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.557%
Under 3.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%
BTTS — No33%
Under 2.5 goals32%
Over 4.5 goals28%
Over 5.5 goals14%
Under 1.5 goals12%
Goals range — 0-1 goals12%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw48%
Fenerbahce to score 3+36%
Sturm Graz to score 135%
Fenerbahce to score 227%
Fenerbahce to score 125%
Sturm Graz to score 025%
Fenerbahce clean sheet25%
Sturm Graz to score 224%
Winning margin — Draw23%
Fenerbahce win to nil21%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 121%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 216%
Sturm Graz to score 3+16%
Winning margin — Sturm Graz by 113%
Fenerbahce to score 012%
Sturm Graz clean sheet12%
Correct score 1-110%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 310%
Correct score 2-19%
Sturm Graz win to nil8%
Winning margin — Sturm Graz by 27%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 3-17%
Correct score 2-27%
Correct score 1-26%
Correct score 1-05%
Correct score 3-05%
Correct score 3-25%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 45%
Correct score 0-04%
Winning margin — Sturm Graz by 33%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 5+3%
Winning margin — Sturm Graz by 41%
Winning margin — Sturm Graz by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
Fenerbahce to win either half69%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals53%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
Fenerbahce to score in both halves42%
1st Half result — Fenerbahce42%
Sturm Graz to win either half41%
HT/FT Fenerbahce / Fenerbahce35%
1st Half result — Draw35%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
Sturm Graz to score in both halves25%
1st Half result — Sturm Graz23%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
Fenerbahce to win both halves19%
HT/FT Draw / Fenerbahce16%
HT/FT Sturm Graz / Sturm Graz14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%
HT/FT Draw / Sturm Graz8%
Sturm Graz to win both halves6%
HT/FT Sturm Graz / Draw5%
HT/FT Fenerbahce / Draw5%
HT/FT Sturm Graz / Fenerbahce4%
HT/FT Fenerbahce / Sturm Graz2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Fenerbahce +2.596%
Handicap — Fenerbahce +1.590%
Handicap — Sturm Graz -2.583%
Handicap — Fenerbahce +0.577%
Handicap — Sturm Graz -1.567%
Handicap — Fenerbahce -0.554%
Handicap — Sturm Graz -0.547%
Handicap — Fenerbahce -1.533%
Handicap — Sturm Graz +0.523%
Handicap — Fenerbahce -2.517%
Handicap — Sturm Graz +1.511%
Handicap — Sturm Graz +2.54%