Sturm Graz v Fenerbahce
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Football·UEFA Champions League Qualifiers· 2026-08-11 · 18:30

Sturm Graz v Fenerbahce

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.14 1/7
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Sturm Graz25%
Draw24%
Fenerbahce53%
$43,549 liquidity · $1,636 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: Yes58%1.67
BTTS: No42%2.30
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Fenerbahce52%1.89
The Draw24%4.00
Sturm Graz24%4.10
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Sturm Graz or Fenerbahce76%
Double chance — Fenerbahce or Draw69%
Draw no bet — Fenerbahce60%
Double chance — Sturm Graz or Draw55%
Fenerbahce to win45%
Draw no bet — Sturm Graz40%
Sturm Graz to win31%
Draw24%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals86%
Under 4.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes69%
Over 2.5 goals68%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.559%
Under 3.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%
Under 2.5 goals32%
BTTS — No31%
Over 4.5 goals28%
Over 5.5 goals14%
Under 1.5 goals12%
Goals range — 0-1 goals12%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw49%
Sturm Graz to score 133%
Fenerbahce to score 3+30%
Fenerbahce to score 128%
Fenerbahce to score 227%
Sturm Graz to score 226%
Winning margin — Draw24%
Sturm Graz to score 3+21%
Sturm Graz to score 021%
Fenerbahce clean sheet21%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 119%
Fenerbahce win to nil17%
Winning margin — Sturm Graz by 116%
Fenerbahce to score 015%
Sturm Graz clean sheet15%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 214%
Correct score 1-110%
Sturm Graz win to nil10%
Winning margin — Sturm Graz by 29%
Correct score 1-29%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 37%
Correct score 2-17%
Correct score 2-27%
Correct score 1-36%
Correct score 0-26%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 2-35%
Correct score 0-04%
Winning margin — Sturm Graz by 34%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 43%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 5+2%
Winning margin — Sturm Graz by 41%
Winning margin — Sturm Graz by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
Fenerbahce to win either half62%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals53%
Sturm Graz to win either half49%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
Fenerbahce to score in both halves38%
1st Half result — Fenerbahce37%
1st Half result — Draw36%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
Sturm Graz to score in both halves29%
HT/FT Fenerbahce / Fenerbahce29%
1st Half result — Sturm Graz28%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
HT/FT Sturm Graz / Sturm Graz19%
Fenerbahce to win both halves15%
HT/FT Draw / Fenerbahce14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%
HT/FT Draw / Sturm Graz10%
Sturm Graz to win both halves8%
HT/FT Fenerbahce / Draw5%
HT/FT Sturm Graz / Draw5%
HT/FT Sturm Graz / Fenerbahce3%
HT/FT Fenerbahce / Sturm Graz3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Fenerbahce -2.594%
Handicap — Sturm Graz +2.588%
Handicap — Fenerbahce -1.585%
Handicap — Sturm Graz +1.574%
Handicap — Fenerbahce -0.569%
Handicap — Sturm Graz +0.555%
Handicap — Fenerbahce +0.545%
Handicap — Sturm Graz -0.531%
Handicap — Fenerbahce +1.526%
Handicap — Sturm Graz -1.515%
Handicap — Fenerbahce +2.512%
Handicap — Sturm Graz -2.56%