Mertens v N Osaka
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Tennis·WTA Toronto 2026· 2026-08-07 · 21:00

Mertens v N Osaka

Recommended bet
Naomi Osaka
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability67%
Implied (with margin)67%
Model edge-0.4%
Odds1.49 1/2
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Mertens34%
N Osaka67%
$81,606 liquidity · $9,648 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Mertens double-faults on 6% of serve points vs N Osaka's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
N Osaka to win54%1.85—
Mertens to win46%2.18—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Naomi Osaka67%1.49—
Elise Mertens33%3.00—