Sporting Lisbon v Guimaraes
Back to board
Football·Portuguese Primeira Liga· 2026-08-14 · 19:15

Sporting Lisbon v Guimaraes

Recommended bet
Sporting Lisbon or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.13 2/15
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Sporting Lisbon79%1.26
The Draw14%7.20
Guimaraes7%13.50
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Sporting Lisbon or Draw88%
Draw no bet — Sporting Lisbon85%
Double chance — Sporting Lisbon or Guimaraes76%
Sporting Lisbon to win65%
Double chance — Guimaraes or Draw36%
Draw24%
Draw no bet — Guimaraes15%
Guimaraes to win12%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals88%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals74%
BTTS — No57%
Under 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Over 2.5 goals47%
BTTS — Yes43%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.532%
Under 1.5 goals26%
Goals range — 0-1 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Goals range — 4-6 goals24%
Over 4.5 goals12%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Guimaraes to score 051%
Sporting Lisbon clean sheet51%
Sporting Lisbon win to nil42%
Guimaraes to score 135%
Sporting Lisbon to score 3+29%
Sporting Lisbon to score 129%
Both score no draw28%
Sporting Lisbon to score 227%
Winning margin — Sporting Lisbon by 125%
Winning margin — Draw24%
Winning margin — Sporting Lisbon by 220%
Sporting Lisbon to score 015%
Guimaraes clean sheet15%
Correct score 2-014%
Correct score 1-013%
Guimaraes to score 212%
Winning margin — Sporting Lisbon by 312%
Correct score 1-111%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 0-09%
Correct score 3-09%
Winning margin — Guimaraes by 18%
Guimaraes win to nil6%
Correct score 3-16%
Winning margin — Sporting Lisbon by 45%
Correct score 0-14%
Correct score 4-04%
Correct score 1-23%
Guimaraes to score 3+3%
Winning margin — Guimaraes by 23%
Winning margin — Sporting Lisbon by 5+3%
Winning margin — Guimaraes by 31%
Winning margin — Guimaraes by 40%
Winning margin — Guimaraes by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
Sporting Lisbon to win either half74%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%
1st Half result — Sporting Lisbon47%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
HT/FT Sporting Lisbon / Sporting Lisbon43%
1st Half result — Draw40%
Sporting Lisbon to score in both halves37%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
Guimaraes to win either half24%
Sporting Lisbon to win both halves24%
HT/FT Draw / Sporting Lisbon21%
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%
1st Half result — Guimaraes13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Guimaraes to score in both halves8%
HT/FT Guimaraes / Guimaraes7%
HT/FT Draw / Guimaraes5%
HT/FT Guimaraes / Draw4%
HT/FT Sporting Lisbon / Draw4%
HT/FT Guimaraes / Sporting Lisbon3%
Guimaraes to win both halves2%
HT/FT Sporting Lisbon / Guimaraes1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Sporting Lisbon +2.599%
Handicap — Sporting Lisbon +1.597%
Handicap — Sporting Lisbon +0.588%
Handicap — Guimaraes -2.581%
Handicap — Sporting Lisbon -0.565%
Handicap — Guimaraes -1.560%
Handicap — Sporting Lisbon -1.540%
Handicap — Guimaraes -0.536%
Handicap — Sporting Lisbon -2.519%
Handicap — Guimaraes +0.512%
Handicap — Guimaraes +1.53%
Handicap — Guimaraes +2.51%