Iceland v Estonia
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Football·UEFA Nations League· 2026-09-26 · 16:00

Iceland v Estonia

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.76—
Under 2.5 Goals45%2.28—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Iceland75%1.32—
The Draw17%6.00—
Estonia8%12.50—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Iceland or Draw78%——
Double chance — Iceland or Estonia74%——
Draw no bet — Iceland70%——
Iceland to win51%——
Double chance — Estonia or Draw49%——
Draw no bet — Estonia30%——
Draw26%——
Estonia to win23%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals56%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Estonia to score 137%——
Estonia to score 033%——
Iceland clean sheet33%——
Iceland to score 130%——
Iceland to score 227%——
Iceland to score 3+26%——
Winning margin — Draw26%——
Iceland win to nil26%——
Winning margin — Iceland by 122%——
Estonia to score 221%——
Iceland to score 017%——
Estonia clean sheet17%——
Winning margin — Iceland by 216%——
Winning margin — Estonia by 113%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Estonia to score 3+10%——
Estonia win to nil10%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Winning margin — Iceland by 38%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Winning margin — Estonia by 26%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Winning margin — Iceland by 43%——
Winning margin — Estonia by 32%——
Winning margin — Iceland by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Estonia by 41%——
Winning margin — Estonia by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals84%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals75%——
Iceland to win either half67%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half result — Iceland41%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals41%——
Estonia to win either half40%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
Iceland to score in both halves37%——
HT/FT Iceland / Iceland34%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
1st Half result — Estonia22%——
Estonia to score in both halves20%——
Iceland to win both halves18%——
HT/FT Draw / Iceland17%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%——
HT/FT Estonia / Estonia14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%——
HT/FT Draw / Estonia9%——
HT/FT Estonia / Draw5%——
HT/FT Iceland / Draw5%——
Estonia to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Estonia / Iceland3%——
HT/FT Iceland / Estonia2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Iceland +2.597%——
Handicap — Iceland +1.591%——
Handicap — Estonia -2.587%——
Handicap — Iceland +0.578%——
Handicap — Estonia -1.571%——
Handicap — Iceland -0.551%——
Handicap — Estonia -0.549%——
Handicap — Iceland -1.529%——
Handicap — Estonia +0.523%——
Handicap — Iceland -2.513%——
Handicap — Estonia +1.59%——
Handicap — Estonia +2.53%——