England v Spain
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England v Spain
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge—
Odds1.30 3/10
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals51%1.88—
Under 2.5 Goals49%2.10—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Spain40%2.48—
England32%3.10—
The Draw28%3.50—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — England or Spain71%——
Double chance — Spain or Draw71%——
Draw no bet — Spain60%——
Double chance — England or Draw58%——
Spain to win43%——
Draw no bet — England41%——
England to win29%——
Draw29%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals86%——
Over 1.5 goals77%——
Under 3.5 goals71%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals51%——
Under 2.5 goals49%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals29%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals27%——
Under 1.5 goals23%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals23%——
Over 4.5 goals14%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
England to score 136%——
Both score no draw36%——
Spain to score 133%——
England to score 030%——
Spain clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw29%——
Spain to score 225%——
Spain to score 022%——
England clean sheet22%——
England to score 222%——
Spain win to nil22%——
Winning margin — Spain by 121%——
Spain to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — England by 116%——
England win to nil14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Spain by 213%——
England to score 3+12%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Winning margin — England by 29%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Winning margin — Spain by 36%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Winning margin — England by 33%——
Winning margin — Spain by 42%——
Winning margin — England by 41%——
Winning margin — Spain by 5+1%——
Winning margin — England by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%——
Spain to win either half56%——
1st Half result — Draw44%——
England to win either half44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%——
1st Half result — Spain32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals30%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
HT/FT Spain / Spain25%——
1st Half result — England24%——
Spain to score in both halves24%——
England to score in both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT England / England17%——
HT/FT Draw / Spain15%——
HT/FT Draw / England11%——
Spain to win both halves11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%——
England to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Spain / Draw5%——
HT/FT England / Draw5%——
HT/FT England / Spain2%——
HT/FT Spain / England2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Spain -2.596%——
Handicap — England +2.591%——
Handicap — Spain -1.587%——
Handicap — England +1.578%——
Handicap — Spain -0.571%——
Handicap — England +0.558%——
Handicap — Spain +0.543%——
Handicap — England -0.529%——
Handicap — Spain +1.522%——
Handicap — England -1.513%——
Handicap — Spain +2.59%——
Handicap — England -2.54%——