Casa Pia v Benfica
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Football·Portuguese Primeira Liga· 2026-08-17 · 19:15

Casa Pia v Benfica

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge
Odds1.30 3/10
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Benfica80%1.24
The Draw14%7.20
Casa Pia6%16.00
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Benfica or Draw74%
Double chance — Casa Pia or Benfica70%
Draw no bet — Benfica63%
Double chance — Casa Pia or Draw56%
Benfica to win44%
Draw no bet — Casa Pia37%
Draw30%
Casa Pia to win26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Under 4.5 goals90%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 3.5 goals77%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Under 2.5 goals56%
BTTS — Yes50%
BTTS — No50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals44%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.536%
Under 1.5 goals28%
Goals range — 0-1 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Goals range — 4-6 goals22%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 4.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Casa Pia to score 137%
Casa Pia to score 036%
Benfica clean sheet36%
Benfica to score 134%
Both score no draw31%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Benfica win to nil25%
Benfica to score 024%
Benfica to score 224%
Casa Pia clean sheet24%
Winning margin — Benfica by 122%
Casa Pia to score 219%
Benfica to score 3+17%
Winning margin — Casa Pia by 116%
Correct score 1-114%
Casa Pia win to nil14%
Winning margin — Benfica by 214%
Correct score 0-111%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 0-29%
Casa Pia to score 3+9%
Correct score 1-07%
Winning margin — Casa Pia by 27%
Correct score 2-17%
Winning margin — Benfica by 36%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Casa Pia by 32%
Winning margin — Benfica by 42%
Winning margin — Benfica by 5+1%
Winning margin — Casa Pia by 41%
Winning margin — Casa Pia by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals91%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals72%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals65%
Benfica to win either half57%
1st Half result — Draw45%
Half with most goals — 2nd42%
Casa Pia to win either half41%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals35%
1st Half result — Benfica33%
Half with most goals — 1st30%
Half with most goals — Equal28%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals28%
HT/FT Benfica / Benfica27%
Benfica to score in both halves24%
1st Half result — Casa Pia22%
HT/FT Draw / Draw18%
HT/FT Draw / Benfica16%
HT/FT Casa Pia / Casa Pia15%
Casa Pia to score in both halves15%
Benfica to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / Casa Pia11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals9%
Casa Pia to win both halves5%
HT/FT Benfica / Draw5%
HT/FT Casa Pia / Draw5%
HT/FT Casa Pia / Benfica2%
HT/FT Benfica / Casa Pia1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Benfica -2.597%
Handicap — Casa Pia +2.592%
Handicap — Benfica -1.590%
Handicap — Casa Pia +1.578%
Handicap — Benfica -0.574%
Handicap — Casa Pia +0.556%
Handicap — Benfica +0.544%
Handicap — Casa Pia -0.526%
Handicap — Benfica +1.522%
Handicap — Casa Pia -1.510%
Handicap — Benfica +2.58%
Handicap — Casa Pia -2.53%