Portugal v Wales
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Football·UEFA Nations League· 2026-09-24 · 18:45

Portugal v Wales

Recommended bet
Portugal or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability83%
Implied (with margin)83%
Model edge
Odds1.20 1/5
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: No57%1.73
Over 2.5 Goals54%1.57
Under 2.5 Goals46%2.66
BTTS: Yes43%2.28
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Portugal80%1.24
The Draw14%7.00
Wales6%16.50
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Portugal or Draw83%
Draw no bet — Portugal77%
Double chance — Portugal or Wales75%
Portugal to win58%
Double chance — Wales or Draw42%
Draw25%
Draw no bet — Wales23%
Wales to win17%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals93%
Under 4.5 goals84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%
BTTS — No47%
Under 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals21%
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%
Over 4.5 goals16%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Under 0.5 goals7%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Wales to score 039%
Portugal clean sheet39%
Wales to score 137%
Both score no draw36%
Portugal win to nil32%
Portugal to score 3+29%
Portugal to score 129%
Portugal to score 227%
Winning margin — Draw25%
Winning margin — Portugal by 123%
Winning margin — Portugal by 218%
Wales to score 217%
Portugal to score 015%
Wales clean sheet15%
Correct score 1-112%
Winning margin — Wales by 111%
Correct score 2-011%
Winning margin — Portugal by 310%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 1-010%
Wales win to nil8%
Correct score 0-07%
Wales to score 3+7%
Correct score 3-07%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 1-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Wales by 25%
Winning margin — Portugal by 44%
Correct score 0-14%
Winning margin — Portugal by 5+2%
Winning margin — Wales by 31%
Winning margin — Wales by 40%
Winning margin — Wales by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%
Portugal to win either half71%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Portugal44%
1st Half result — Draw39%
HT/FT Portugal / Portugal38%
Portugal to score in both halves37%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%
Wales to win either half32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
Portugal to win both halves21%
HT/FT Draw / Portugal19%
1st Half result — Wales17%
Wales to score in both halves14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%
HT/FT Wales / Wales10%
HT/FT Draw / Wales7%
HT/FT Wales / Draw4%
HT/FT Portugal / Draw4%
Wales to win both halves3%
HT/FT Wales / Portugal3%
HT/FT Portugal / Wales1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Portugal +2.598%
Handicap — Portugal +1.594%
Handicap — Wales -2.583%
Handicap — Portugal +0.583%
Handicap — Wales -1.565%
Handicap — Portugal -0.558%
Handicap — Wales -0.542%
Handicap — Portugal -1.535%
Handicap — Wales +0.517%
Handicap — Portugal -2.517%
Handicap — Wales +1.56%
Handicap — Wales +2.52%