Netherlands v Germany
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Football·UEFA Nations League· 2026-09-24 · 18:45

Netherlands v Germany

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge
Odds1.23 2/9
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Netherlands39%2.52
Germany35%2.82
The Draw25%3.90
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Netherlands or Germany73%
Double chance — Netherlands or Draw66%
Double chance — Germany or Draw61%
Draw no bet — Netherlands54%
Draw no bet — Germany46%
Netherlands to win39%
Germany to win34%
Draw27%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%
Under 5.5 goals92%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Under 4.5 goals81%
Under 3.5 goals65%
BTTS — Yes62%
Over 2.5 goals58%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.549%
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%
Under 2.5 goals42%
BTTS — No38%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Goals range — 4-6 goals32%
Over 4.5 goals19%
Under 1.5 goals18%
Goals range — 0-1 goals18%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Over 5.5 goals9%
Under 0.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw41%
Germany to score 134%
Netherlands to score 133%
Winning margin — Draw27%
Netherlands to score 226%
Germany to score 225%
Germany to score 024%
Netherlands clean sheet24%
Netherlands to score 021%
Germany clean sheet21%
Netherlands to score 3+21%
Winning margin — Netherlands by 119%
Germany to score 3+18%
Winning margin — Germany by 117%
Netherlands win to nil17%
Germany win to nil15%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Netherlands by 212%
Winning margin — Germany by 210%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 0-06%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 1-06%
Correct score 2-06%
Correct score 0-16%
Winning margin — Netherlands by 35%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Winning margin — Germany by 34%
Winning margin — Netherlands by 42%
Winning margin — Germany by 41%
Winning margin — Netherlands by 5+1%
Winning margin — Germany by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals80%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
Netherlands to win either half58%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals54%
Germany to win either half53%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals46%
1st Half result — Draw36%
Netherlands to score in both halves35%
1st Half result — Netherlands34%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
Germany to score in both halves31%
1st Half result — Germany30%
HT/FT Netherlands / Netherlands26%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
HT/FT Germany / Germany22%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals20%
HT/FT Draw / Netherlands13%
Netherlands to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%
HT/FT Draw / Germany12%
Germany to win both halves10%
HT/FT Germany / Draw6%
HT/FT Netherlands / Draw6%
HT/FT Germany / Netherlands3%
HT/FT Netherlands / Germany3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Netherlands +2.594%
Handicap — Germany -2.592%
Handicap — Netherlands +1.584%
Handicap — Germany -1.580%
Handicap — Netherlands +0.566%
Handicap — Germany -0.561%
Handicap — Netherlands -0.539%
Handicap — Germany +0.534%
Handicap — Netherlands -1.520%
Handicap — Germany +1.516%
Handicap — Netherlands -2.58%
Handicap — Germany +2.56%