Italy v Belgium
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Italy v Belgium
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: Yes58%1.69—
BTTS: No42%2.36—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Italy43%2.32—
Belgium30%3.35—
The Draw27%3.65—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Belgium or Draw74%——
Double chance — Italy or Belgium73%——
Draw no bet — Belgium65%——
Double chance — Italy or Draw53%——
Belgium to win47%——
Draw no bet — Italy35%——
Draw27%——
Italy to win26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals83%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals67%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.546%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals20%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals20%——
Over 4.5 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw39%——
Italy to score 136%——
Belgium to score 131%——
Italy to score 030%——
Belgium clean sheet30%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
Belgium to score 226%——
Belgium to score 3+24%——
Belgium win to nil23%——
Italy to score 222%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 121%——
Belgium to score 019%——
Italy clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — Italy by 115%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 215%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Italy to score 3+12%——
Italy win to nil12%——
Correct score 1-210%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 0-28%——
Winning margin — Italy by 28%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 37%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 2-17%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Correct score 1-05%——
Correct score 0-34%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 43%——
Winning margin — Italy by 33%——
Winning margin — Belgium by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Italy by 41%——
Winning margin — Italy by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals84%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals75%——
Belgium to win either half63%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals60%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
Italy to win either half43%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals40%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
1st Half result — Belgium38%——
Belgium to score in both halves34%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
HT/FT Belgium / Belgium31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
1st Half result — Italy24%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
Italy to score in both halves22%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals16%——
HT/FT Italy / Italy16%——
HT/FT Draw / Belgium16%——
Belgium to win both halves15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / Italy10%——
Italy to win both halves6%——
HT/FT Belgium / Draw5%——
HT/FT Italy / Draw5%——
HT/FT Italy / Belgium3%——
HT/FT Belgium / Italy2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Belgium -2.596%——
Handicap — Belgium -1.589%——
Handicap — Italy +2.589%——
Handicap — Belgium -0.574%——
Handicap — Italy +1.574%——
Handicap — Italy +0.553%——
Handicap — Belgium +0.547%——
Handicap — Italy -0.526%——
Handicap — Belgium +1.526%——
Handicap — Italy -1.511%——
Handicap — Belgium +2.511%——
Handicap — Italy -2.54%——