Fenerbahce v Lyon
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Football·UEFA Champions League Qualifiers· 2026-08-18 · 19:00

Fenerbahce v Lyon

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.14 1/7
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Draw no bet: Fenerbahce64%1.56
Draw no bet: Lyon36%2.76
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals68%1.83
BTTS: Yes58%1.71
BTTS: No42%2.32
Under 2.5 Goals32%2.16
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Fenerbahce47%2.12
Lyon27%3.75
The Draw27%3.75
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Fenerbahce or Lyon75%
Double chance — Lyon or Draw63%
Double chance — Fenerbahce or Draw62%
Draw no bet — Lyon51%
Draw no bet — Fenerbahce49%
Lyon to win38%
Fenerbahce to win37%
Draw25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals96%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Under 5.5 goals86%
Under 4.5 goals73%
BTTS — Yes70%
Over 2.5 goals68%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.559%
Under 3.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Goals range — 2-3 goals41%
Goals range — 4-6 goals40%
Under 2.5 goals32%
BTTS — No31%
Over 4.5 goals28%
Over 5.5 goals14%
Under 1.5 goals12%
Goals range — 0-1 goals12%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Goals range — 7+ goals7%
Under 0.5 goals4%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw49%
Fenerbahce to score 131%
Lyon to score 130%
Lyon to score 227%
Fenerbahce to score 227%
Lyon to score 3+26%
Fenerbahce to score 3+25%
Winning margin — Draw25%
Winning margin — Lyon by 118%
Fenerbahce to score 018%
Lyon clean sheet18%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 117%
Lyon to score 017%
Fenerbahce clean sheet17%
Lyon win to nil13%
Fenerbahce win to nil13%
Winning margin — Lyon by 212%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 211%
Correct score 1-110%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 2-27%
Winning margin — Lyon by 36%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 35%
Correct score 1-35%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 0-04%
Correct score 2-34%
Winning margin — Lyon by 42%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 42%
Winning margin — Lyon by 5+1%
Winning margin — Fenerbahce by 5+1%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%
Lyon to win either half56%
Fenerbahce to win either half55%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals53%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals47%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
1st Half result — Draw36%
Lyon to score in both halves34%
Fenerbahce to score in both halves33%
1st Half result — Lyon33%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
1st Half result — Fenerbahce32%
HT/FT Lyon / Lyon24%
HT/FT Fenerbahce / Fenerbahce23%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%
HT/FT Draw / Lyon12%
HT/FT Draw / Fenerbahce12%
Lyon to win both halves11%
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%
Fenerbahce to win both halves11%
HT/FT Lyon / Draw6%
HT/FT Fenerbahce / Draw6%
HT/FT Fenerbahce / Lyon3%
HT/FT Lyon / Fenerbahce3%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Lyon -2.592%
Handicap — Fenerbahce +2.591%
Handicap — Lyon -1.580%
Handicap — Fenerbahce +1.579%
Handicap — Lyon -0.563%
Handicap — Fenerbahce +0.562%
Handicap — Lyon +0.538%
Handicap — Fenerbahce -0.537%
Handicap — Lyon +1.521%
Handicap — Fenerbahce -1.520%
Handicap — Lyon +2.59%
Handicap — Fenerbahce -2.58%