Sim Waltert v J Pegula
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Tennis·WTA Cincinnati 2026· 2026-08-15 · 20:30

Sim Waltert v J Pegula

Recommended bet
Jessica Pegula
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability93%
Implied (with margin)93%
Model edge-0.6%
Odds1.07 1/14
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Sim Waltert8%
J Pegula93%
$292,137 liquidity · $20,391 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • J Pegula holds serve 75% of games vs Sim Waltert's 60%
  • Sim Waltert wins only 44% of 2nd-serve points (J Pegula: 50%)
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
J Pegula to win81%1.23—
Sim Waltert to win19%5.40—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Jessica Pegula93%1.07—
Simona Waltert7%14.00—