Jodar v Shapovalov
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Tennis·ATP Cincinnati OH 2026· 2026-08-15 · 23:00

Jodar v Shapovalov

Recommended bet
Rafael Jodar
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability69%
Implied (with margin)70%
Model edge-0.7%
Odds1.43 4/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Jodar69%
Shapovalov32%
$68,775 liquidity · $1,015 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Shapovalov double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Jodar's 2%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Jodar to win71%1.41—
Shapovalov to win29%3.45—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Rafael Jodar69%1.43—
Denis Shapovalov31%3.25—