Derby v Cardiff
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Derby v Cardiff
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge—
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Derby49%2.04—
The Draw27%3.70—
Cardiff24%4.10—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Derby or Cardiff72%——
Double chance — Derby or Draw64%——
Double chance — Cardiff or Draw64%——
Draw no bet — Derby50%——
Draw no bet — Cardiff50%——
Derby to win36%——
Cardiff to win36%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals79%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
Over 2.5 goals54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%——
BTTS — No41%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%——
Derby to score 134%——
Cardiff to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Cardiff to score 024%——
Derby clean sheet24%——
Derby to score 024%——
Derby to score 224%——
Cardiff to score 224%——
Cardiff clean sheet24%——
Winning margin — Derby by 119%——
Winning margin — Cardiff by 118%——
Derby to score 3+17%——
Derby win to nil17%——
Cardiff to score 3+17%——
Cardiff win to nil17%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Derby by 211%——
Winning margin — Cardiff by 211%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-17%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-26%——
Winning margin — Derby by 35%——
Winning margin — Cardiff by 34%——
Correct score 3-14%——
Winning margin — Derby by 42%——
Winning margin — Cardiff by 41%——
Winning margin — Derby by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Cardiff by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals64%——
Derby to win either half52%——
Cardiff to win either half52%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals36%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — Derby30%——
1st Half result — Cardiff30%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Derby to score in both halves25%——
Cardiff to score in both halves25%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
HT/FT Derby / Derby22%——
HT/FT Cardiff / Cardiff22%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%——
HT/FT Draw / Derby13%——
HT/FT Draw / Cardiff13%——
Derby to win both halves10%——
Cardiff to win both halves9%——
HT/FT Cardiff / Draw5%——
HT/FT Derby / Draw5%——
HT/FT Cardiff / Derby2%——
HT/FT Derby / Cardiff2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Derby +2.594%——
Handicap — Cardiff -2.594%——
Handicap — Derby +1.583%——
Handicap — Cardiff -1.583%——
Handicap — Derby +0.564%——
Handicap — Cardiff -0.564%——
Handicap — Derby -0.536%——
Handicap — Cardiff +0.536%——
Handicap — Derby -1.518%——
Handicap — Cardiff +1.517%——
Handicap — Derby -2.57%——
Handicap — Cardiff +2.56%——