Arsenal v Chelsea
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Arsenal v Chelsea
Recommended bet
Arsenal or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge—
Odds1.22 2/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Arsenal57%
Draw25%
Chelsea19%
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: Yes56%1.76—
Over 2.5 Goals52%1.77—
Under 2.5 Goals48%2.26—
BTTS: No44%2.28—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Arsenal56%1.77—
The Draw24%4.10—
Chelsea20%5.00—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Arsenal or Draw82%——
Draw no bet — Arsenal75%——
Double chance — Arsenal or Chelsea74%——
Arsenal to win56%——
Double chance — Chelsea or Draw44%——
Draw26%——
Draw no bet — Chelsea25%——
Chelsea to win18%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes53%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Chelsea to score 038%——
Arsenal clean sheet38%——
Chelsea to score 137%——
Both score no draw35%——
Arsenal win to nil31%——
Arsenal to score 130%——
Arsenal to score 3+27%——
Arsenal to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw26%——
Winning margin — Arsenal by 123%——
Winning margin — Arsenal by 218%——
Chelsea to score 218%——
Arsenal to score 016%——
Chelsea clean sheet16%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Winning margin — Chelsea by 112%——
Correct score 2-010%——
Correct score 1-010%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Winning margin — Arsenal by 39%——
Chelsea win to nil9%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Chelsea to score 3+7%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 1-25%——
Winning margin — Chelsea by 25%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Winning margin — Arsenal by 44%——
Winning margin — Arsenal by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Chelsea by 31%——
Winning margin — Chelsea by 40%——
Winning margin — Chelsea by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%——
Arsenal to win either half68%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals67%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw41%——
1st Half result — Arsenal41%——
HT/FT Arsenal / Arsenal35%——
Chelsea to win either half33%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals33%——
Arsenal to score in both halves33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
HT/FT Draw / Arsenal19%——
Arsenal to win both halves18%——
1st Half result — Chelsea18%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%——
Chelsea to score in both halves13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%——
HT/FT Chelsea / Chelsea11%——
HT/FT Draw / Chelsea8%——
HT/FT Chelsea / Draw5%——
HT/FT Arsenal / Draw5%——
Chelsea to win both halves3%——
HT/FT Chelsea / Arsenal3%——
HT/FT Arsenal / Chelsea1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Arsenal +2.598%——
Handicap — Arsenal +1.593%——
Handicap — Chelsea -2.585%——
Handicap — Arsenal +0.582%——
Handicap — Chelsea -1.567%——
Handicap — Arsenal -0.556%——
Handicap — Chelsea -0.544%——
Handicap — Arsenal -1.533%——
Handicap — Chelsea +0.518%——
Handicap — Arsenal -2.515%——
Handicap — Chelsea +1.57%——
Handicap — Chelsea +2.52%——