Newcastle v Bournemouth
Back to board
Newcastle v Bournemouth
Recommended bet
Newcastle or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability84%
Implied (with margin)84%
Model edge—
Odds1.19 2/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Newcastle46%
Draw26%
Bournemouth28%
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
BTTS: Yes64%1.56—
Over 2.5 Goals57%1.65—
Under 2.5 Goals43%2.50—
BTTS: No36%2.74—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Newcastle45%2.20—
Bournemouth29%3.45—
The Draw26%3.85—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Newcastle or Draw84%——
Draw no bet — Newcastle79%——
Double chance — Newcastle or Bournemouth77%——
Newcastle to win61%——
Double chance — Bournemouth or Draw39%——
Draw23%——
Draw no bet — Bournemouth21%——
Bournemouth to win16%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%——
Under 5.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals82%——
Over 1.5 goals81%——
Under 3.5 goals65%——
Over 2.5 goals57%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
Under 2.5 goals43%——
Over 3.5 goals35%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals32%——
Under 1.5 goals19%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals19%——
Over 4.5 goals18%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%——
Over 5.5 goals8%——
Under 0.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Bournemouth to score 038%——
Newcastle clean sheet38%——
Both score no draw38%——
Bournemouth to score 137%——
Newcastle to score 3+33%——
Newcastle win to nil32%——
Newcastle to score 227%——
Newcastle to score 127%——
Winning margin — Draw23%——
Winning margin — Newcastle by 123%——
Winning margin — Newcastle by 219%——
Bournemouth to score 218%——
Newcastle to score 013%——
Bournemouth clean sheet13%——
Correct score 1-111%——
Winning margin — Newcastle by 311%——
Correct score 2-010%——
Winning margin — Bournemouth by 110%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Bournemouth to score 3+7%——
Correct score 3-07%——
Bournemouth win to nil7%——
Correct score 3-17%——
Correct score 0-06%——
Winning margin — Newcastle by 45%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 1-25%——
Winning margin — Bournemouth by 24%——
Correct score 0-14%——
Winning margin — Newcastle by 5+3%——
Winning margin — Bournemouth by 31%——
Winning margin — Bournemouth by 40%——
Winning margin — Bournemouth by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals81%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals78%——
Newcastle to win either half75%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals56%——
1st Half result — Newcastle48%——
Half with most goals — 2nd46%——
Newcastle to score in both halves46%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals45%——
HT/FT Newcastle / Newcastle42%——
1st Half result — Draw35%——
Bournemouth to win either half32%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
Newcastle to win both halves25%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals22%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals19%——
HT/FT Draw / Newcastle18%——
1st Half result — Bournemouth17%——
Bournemouth to score in both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%——
HT/FT Bournemouth / Bournemouth9%——
HT/FT Draw / Bournemouth6%——
HT/FT Bournemouth / Draw4%——
HT/FT Newcastle / Draw4%——
HT/FT Bournemouth / Newcastle4%——
Bournemouth to win both halves3%——
HT/FT Newcastle / Bournemouth1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Newcastle +2.599%——
Handicap — Newcastle +1.594%——
Handicap — Newcastle +0.584%——
Handicap — Bournemouth -2.581%——
Handicap — Bournemouth -1.562%——
Handicap — Newcastle -0.561%——
Handicap — Bournemouth -0.539%——
Handicap — Newcastle -1.538%——
Handicap — Newcastle -2.519%——
Handicap — Bournemouth +0.516%——
Handicap — Bournemouth +1.56%——
Handicap — Bournemouth +2.52%——