Brighton v Leeds
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Brighton v Leeds
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.31 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Brighton49%
Draw27%
Leeds25%
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 Goals50%2.04—
Over 2.5 Goals50%1.93—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Brighton48%2.06—
The Draw27%3.65—
Leeds25%4.00—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Brighton or Draw74%——
Double chance — Brighton or Leeds72%——
Draw no bet — Brighton64%——
Double chance — Leeds or Draw54%——
Brighton to win46%——
Draw no bet — Leeds36%——
Draw28%——
Leeds to win26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals87%——
Over 1.5 goals76%——
Under 3.5 goals72%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Over 2.5 goals50%——
Under 2.5 goals50%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%——
Over 3.5 goals28%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%——
Under 1.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Over 4.5 goals13%——
Under 0.5 goals9%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Leeds to score 137%——
Both score no draw35%——
Brighton to score 133%——
Leeds to score 033%——
Brighton clean sheet33%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Brighton to score 226%——
Brighton win to nil24%——
Winning margin — Brighton by 122%——
Brighton to score 021%——
Leeds clean sheet21%——
Leeds to score 221%——
Brighton to score 3+20%——
Winning margin — Leeds by 115%——
Winning margin — Brighton by 214%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Leeds win to nil13%——
Leeds to score 3+10%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 0-09%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Winning margin — Leeds by 28%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — Brighton by 37%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-24%——
Winning margin — Leeds by 33%——
Winning margin — Brighton by 42%——
Winning margin — Brighton by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Leeds by 41%——
Winning margin — Leeds by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals91%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals72%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals65%——
Brighton to win either half57%——
1st Half result — Draw45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd42%——
Leeds to win either half40%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals35%——
1st Half result — Brighton33%——
Half with most goals — 1st30%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals28%——
Half with most goals — Equal28%——
HT/FT Brighton / Brighton27%——
Brighton to score in both halves24%——
1st Half result — Leeds22%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw18%——
HT/FT Draw / Brighton16%——
HT/FT Leeds / Leeds15%——
Leeds to score in both halves15%——
Brighton to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Leeds11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals9%——
Leeds to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Leeds / Draw5%——
HT/FT Brighton / Draw5%——
HT/FT Leeds / Brighton2%——
HT/FT Brighton / Leeds1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Brighton +2.597%——
Handicap — Leeds -2.590%——
Handicap — Brighton +1.589%——
Handicap — Leeds -1.576%——
Handicap — Brighton +0.574%——
Handicap — Leeds -0.554%——
Handicap — Brighton -0.546%——
Handicap — Leeds +0.526%——
Handicap — Brighton -1.524%——
Handicap — Leeds +1.511%——
Handicap — Brighton -2.510%——
Handicap — Leeds +2.53%——