Hull v Aston Villa
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Hull v Aston Villa
Recommended bet
Hull or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability80%
Implied (with margin)80%
Model edge—
Odds1.25 1/4
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Hull23%
Draw26%
Aston Villa52%
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 Goals53%2.08—
Under 2.5 Goals47%1.90—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Aston Villa51%1.96—
The Draw26%3.75—
Hull23%4.30—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Hull or Draw80%——
Double chance — Hull or Aston Villa74%——
Draw no bet — Hull73%——
Hull to win54%——
Double chance — Aston Villa or Draw47%——
Draw no bet — Aston Villa28%——
Draw26%——
Aston Villa to win20%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals69%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS — No45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals31%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Aston Villa to score 137%——
Both score no draw36%——
Aston Villa to score 036%——
Hull clean sheet36%——
Hull to score 130%——
Hull win to nil28%——
Hull to score 227%——
Hull to score 3+26%——
Winning margin — Draw26%——
Winning margin — Hull by 123%——
Aston Villa to score 219%——
Winning margin — Hull by 217%——
Hull to score 017%——
Aston Villa clean sheet17%——
Correct score 1-113%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa by 113%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 2-010%——
Aston Villa win to nil9%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Winning margin — Hull by 39%——
Aston Villa to score 3+9%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa by 26%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Winning margin — Hull by 44%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa by 32%——
Winning margin — Hull by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa by 40%——
Winning margin — Aston Villa by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%——
Hull to win either half67%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Hull40%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
Aston Villa to win either half36%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%——
HT/FT Hull / Hull34%——
Hull to score in both halves34%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — Aston Villa20%——
Hull to win both halves18%——
HT/FT Draw / Hull18%——
Aston Villa to score in both halves16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%——
HT/FT Aston Villa / Aston Villa12%——
HT/FT Draw / Aston Villa8%——
HT/FT Aston Villa / Draw5%——
HT/FT Hull / Draw5%——
Aston Villa to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Aston Villa / Hull3%——
HT/FT Hull / Aston Villa1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Hull +2.598%——
Handicap — Hull +1.592%——
Handicap — Aston Villa -2.586%——
Handicap — Hull +0.580%——
Handicap — Aston Villa -1.569%——
Handicap — Hull -0.554%——
Handicap — Aston Villa -0.547%——
Handicap — Hull -1.531%——
Handicap — Aston Villa +0.520%——
Handicap — Hull -2.514%——
Handicap — Aston Villa +1.58%——
Handicap — Aston Villa +2.52%——