Roma v Atalanta
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Football·Italian Serie A· 2026-09-05 · 18:45

Roma v Atalanta

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge
Odds1.29 3/10
All markets
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Roma56%1.76
The Draw25%3.95
Atalanta19%5.30
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Roma or Draw76%
Double chance — Roma or Atalanta70%
Draw no bet — Roma66%
Double chance — Atalanta or Draw54%
Roma to win46%
Draw no bet — Atalanta34%
Draw30%
Atalanta to win24%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Under 4.5 goals90%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 3.5 goals77%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Under 2.5 goals56%
BTTS — No51%
BTTS — Yes50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals44%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.535%
Under 1.5 goals29%
Goals range — 0-1 goals29%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Goals range — 4-6 goals22%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 4.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Atalanta to score 037%
Roma clean sheet37%
Atalanta to score 137%
Roma to score 134%
Both score no draw30%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Roma win to nil27%
Roma to score 225%
Roma to score 024%
Atalanta clean sheet24%
Winning margin — Roma by 123%
Atalanta to score 218%
Roma to score 3+18%
Winning margin — Atalanta by 115%
Winning margin — Roma by 214%
Correct score 1-114%
Atalanta win to nil13%
Correct score 1-011%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 2-09%
Correct score 2-19%
Atalanta to score 3+8%
Correct score 0-17%
Winning margin — Atalanta by 27%
Correct score 1-26%
Winning margin — Roma by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-04%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Roma by 42%
Winning margin — Atalanta by 32%
Winning margin — Roma by 5+1%
Winning margin — Atalanta by 41%
Winning margin — Atalanta by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals91%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals72%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals65%
Roma to win either half59%
1st Half result — Draw45%
Half with most goals — 2nd42%
Atalanta to win either half39%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals35%
1st Half result — Roma34%
Half with most goals — 1st30%
Half with most goals — Equal28%
HT/FT Roma / Roma28%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals28%
Roma to score in both halves24%
1st Half result — Atalanta21%
HT/FT Draw / Draw18%
HT/FT Draw / Roma17%
HT/FT Atalanta / Atalanta14%
Atalanta to score in both halves14%
Roma to win both halves13%
HT/FT Draw / Atalanta10%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals9%
Atalanta to win both halves5%
HT/FT Atalanta / Draw5%
HT/FT Roma / Draw5%
HT/FT Atalanta / Roma2%
HT/FT Roma / Atalanta1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Roma +2.598%
Handicap — Atalanta -2.591%
Handicap — Roma +1.591%
Handicap — Atalanta -1.577%
Handicap — Roma +0.576%
Handicap — Atalanta -0.554%
Handicap — Roma -0.546%
Handicap — Atalanta +0.524%
Handicap — Roma -1.524%
Handicap — Atalanta +1.59%
Handicap — Roma -2.59%
Handicap — Atalanta +2.53%