Inter v Napoli
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Football·Italian Serie A· 2026-09-05 · 16:00

Inter v Napoli

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 Goals57%1.87
Over 2.5 Goals43%2.10
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Inter59%1.68
The Draw25%4.00
Napoli16%6.20
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Inter or Draw75%
Double chance — Inter or Napoli70%
Draw no bet — Inter64%
Double chance — Napoli or Draw56%
Inter to win44%
Draw no bet — Napoli36%
Draw30%
Napoli to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Under 4.5 goals90%
Over 0.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals78%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Under 2.5 goals57%
BTTS — No51%
BTTS — Yes50%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals43%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.535%
Under 1.5 goals29%
Goals range — 0-1 goals29%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Goals range — 4-6 goals21%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Under 0.5 goals11%
Over 4.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Napoli to score 137%
Napoli to score 037%
Inter clean sheet37%
Inter to score 135%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Both score no draw30%
Inter win to nil26%
Inter to score 025%
Napoli clean sheet25%
Inter to score 224%
Winning margin — Inter by 122%
Napoli to score 219%
Inter to score 3+17%
Winning margin — Napoli by 116%
Correct score 1-114%
Napoli win to nil14%
Winning margin — Inter by 214%
Correct score 1-011%
Correct score 0-011%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 2-09%
Napoli to score 3+8%
Correct score 0-17%
Winning margin — Napoli by 27%
Correct score 1-26%
Winning margin — Inter by 36%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Napoli by 32%
Winning margin — Inter by 42%
Winning margin — Inter by 5+1%
Winning margin — Napoli by 41%
Winning margin — Napoli by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals92%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals73%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals63%
Inter to win either half57%
1st Half result — Draw46%
Half with most goals — 2nd41%
Napoli to win either half40%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals37%
1st Half result — Inter33%
Half with most goals — 1st30%
Half with most goals — Equal29%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals27%
HT/FT Inter / Inter27%
Inter to score in both halves23%
1st Half result — Napoli21%
HT/FT Draw / Draw19%
HT/FT Draw / Inter17%
HT/FT Napoli / Napoli15%
Napoli to score in both halves14%
Inter to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / Napoli11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals8%
Napoli to win both halves5%
HT/FT Napoli / Draw5%
HT/FT Inter / Draw5%
HT/FT Napoli / Inter2%
HT/FT Inter / Napoli1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Inter +2.597%
Handicap — Napoli -2.592%
Handicap — Inter +1.590%
Handicap — Napoli -1.578%
Handicap — Inter +0.575%
Handicap — Napoli -0.556%
Handicap — Inter -0.544%
Handicap — Napoli +0.525%
Handicap — Inter -1.522%
Handicap — Napoli +1.510%
Handicap — Inter -2.58%
Handicap — Napoli +2.53%