A Sabalenka v Ca Osorio
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Tennis·Women's US Open 2026· 2026-08-30 · 15:00

A Sabalenka v Ca Osorio

Recommended bet
Aryna Sabalenka
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability93%
Implied (with margin)93%
Model edge-0.9%
Odds1.07 1/14
Crowd odds — Polymarket
A Sabalenka92%
Ca Osorio9%
$10,955 liquidity · $121 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • A Sabalenka holds serve 79% of games vs Ca Osorio's 62%
  • Ca Osorio wins only 43% of 2nd-serve points (A Sabalenka: 51%)
  • Ca Osorio double-faults on 7% of serve points vs A Sabalenka's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
A Sabalenka to win82%1.22—
Ca Osorio to win18%5.61—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Aryna Sabalenka93%1.07—
Camila Osorio7%13.50—