Medvedev v Hug Gaston
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Tennis·Men's US Open 2026· 2026-08-30 · 18:00

Medvedev v Hug Gaston

Recommended bet
Daniil Medvedev
Match winner
Best price at Betfair ExchangeHigh
Win probability89%
Implied (with margin)90%
Model edge-1.4%
Odds1.11 1/9
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Medvedev89%
Hug Gaston12%
$8,161 liquidity · $412 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Medvedev holds serve 83% of games vs Hug Gaston's 71%
  • Medvedev double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Hug Gaston's 3%
  • Medvedev wins 40% of return points vs Hug Gaston's 36%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Medvedev to win83%1.20—
Hug Gaston to win17%6.03—
MarketsProbOddsEdge
Daniil Medvedev89%1.11—
Hugo Gaston11%8.80—